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  BRA President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Brazil > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline August 15, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open October 02, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close October 02, 2022 - 03:00pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2023 - 01:00pm
Term End January 05, 2027 - 01:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBojicat October 21, 2024 05:45pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description External Votes
Lula - 137,643
Bolsonaro - 121,591
Gomes - 13,257
Tebet - 13,053
D'Avila - 3,752
Thronicke - 753
Marzano - 613
Vera - 462
Kelmon -342
Pericles - 318
Eymael - 257
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartySocial Liberal Won10/28/2018
NameJair Bolsonaro Votes57,797,847 (55.13%)
Term01/01/2019 - 01/01/2023 Margin10,756,941 (+10.26%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyWorkers' Won10/30/2022
NameLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva Votes60,345,999 (50.90%)
Term01/01/2023 - 01/05/2027 Margin2,139,645 (+1.80%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceBRA President - Runoff 10/30/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/17/2020 10/02/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 3 1 1 1
Leaning Call: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/22/2022 10/01/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Chief of Staff Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (I) Federal Deputy Jair Bolsonaro Sen. Simone Tebet Finance Minister Ciro Gomes Soraya Thronicke Luiz Felipe d'Ávila Kelmon Souza "Padre Kelmon"
PartyWorkers' Liberal Brazilian Democratic Movement Democratic Labour Brazil Union NOVO Brazilian Labour
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.99% in) 57,258,115 (48.43%) 51,071,277 (43.20%) 4,915,306 (4.16%) 3,599,201 (3.04%) 600,953 (0.51%) 559,680 (0.47%) 81,127 (0.07%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -6,186,838 (-5.23%) -52,342,809 (-44.27%) -53,658,914 (-45.39%) -56,657,162 (-47.92%) -56,698,435 (-47.96%) -57,176,988 (-48.36%)
Estimated Final57,120,004 (48.43%) 50,949,570 (43.20%) 4,902,247 (4.16%) 3,585,940 (3.04%) 600,198 (0.51%) 555,928 (0.47%) 80,785 (0.07%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 05/07/2022 00/00/2022 11/25/2021 00/00/2018 07/31/2022 10/21/2021 09/01/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (10 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.47%-- 38.50%-- 4.35%-- 3.36%-- -0.95%-- 5.07%-- 1.87%--
Datafolha 
09/30/22-10/01/22		 48.00% 3.0 36.00% 4.0 6.00% 1.0 5.00% 4.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
MDA Pesquisa 
09/28/22-09/30/22		 44.20% -- 36.30% -- 4.30% -- 4.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
09/28/22-09/30/22		 49.80% -- 40.70% -- 2.60% -- 3.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Datafolha 
09/27/22-09/29/22		 48.00% 3.0 34.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 6.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Genial/Quaest 
09/24/22-09/27/22		 46.00% -- 33.00% -- 5.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipespe 
09/14/22-09/16/22		 45.00% -- 35.00% -- 5.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D KeystoneProgressive
I Noam Chomsky 🔗
S Edward Snowden 🔗
PSDB Aloysio Nunes 🔗
MDB Nelson Jobim 🔗
PS François Hollande 🔗
PSOE José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 🔗
PD Enrico Letta 🔗
Art.1 Massimo D'Alema 🔗
PS Elio Di Rupo 🔗
SP Micheline Calmy-Rey 🔗
RS Dominique de Villepin 🔗
PSB Joaquim Barbosa 🔗
D Jason
UB Henrique Meirelles 🔗
REDE Marina Silva 🔗
PCdoB João Vicente Goulart Filho 🔗
CDN Cristovam Buarque 🔗
PSOL Luciana Genro 🔗
PSOL Guilherme Boulos 🔗
PT Fernando Haddad 🔗
PCdoB Communist Party of Brazil
PV Green Party
PSOL Socialism and Liberty Party 🔗
REDE Sustainability Network 🔗
PSB Brazilian Socialist Party
SD Solidarity
AVANT Avante
AGIR Agir
AVANT André Janones 🔗
MOREN Mario Martín Delgado Carrillo 🔗
ND Juan Croniqueur
I E Pluribus Unum
LBR Old LW
I Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior 🔗
REP Republicans
PP Progressives
R Bensq1
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
PSDB Brazilian Social Democracy Party
CDN Citizenship
PODE Podemos
PODE Jorge Kajuru 🔗
REP Cabo Daciolo 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Leonardo Péricles Sofia Manzano Vera Lúcia Salgado José Maria Eymael  
PartyPopular Unity Brazilian Communist United Socialist Workers' Christian Democracy  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.99% in) 53,518 (0.05%) 45,615 (0.04%) 25,623 (0.02%) 16,603 (0.01%)  
Margin-57,204,597 (-48.39%) -57,212,500 (-48.39%) -57,232,492 (-48.41%) -57,241,512 (-48.42%)  
Estimated Final53,200 (0.05%) 45,002 (0.04%) 25,161 (0.02%) 16,346 (0.01%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 11/14/2021 02/13/2022 03/07/2022 03/31/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (10 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg-0.42%-- -1.80%-- -0.84%-- 0.01%--  
Datafolha 
09/30/22-10/01/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
MDA Pesquisa 
09/28/22-09/30/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
09/28/22-09/30/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Datafolha 
09/27/22-09/29/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Genial/Quaest 
09/24/22-09/27/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipespe 
09/14/22-09/16/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Pablo Marçal (PROS)
May 14, 2022 - Sep 12, 2022 		Roberto Jefferson (PTB)
Aug 01, 2022 - Sep 01, 2022 		André Janones (AVANT)
 00, 2021 - Aug 04, 2022 		Álvaro Dias (PODE)
Aug 03, 2022 		Luciano Bivar (UB)
Apr 14, 2022 - Jul 31, 2022 		Jorge Kajuru (PODE)
Jun 30, 2022 		João Doria Júnior (PSDB)
Nov 27, 2021 - May 23, 2022 		Sérgio Moro (PODE)
Oct 00, 2021 - Mar 31, 2022
Aldo Rebelo (I)
Mar 31, 2022 		Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD)
Oct 23, 2021 - Mar 10, 2022 		Alessandro Vieira (CDN)
Oct 25, 2021 - Mar 00, 2022 		Joaquim Barbosa (PSB)
 00, 2022 		Glauber Braga (PSOL)
 00, 2022 		Renato Casagrande (PSB)
 00, 2022 		Francisco Everardo Oliveira Silva "Tiririca" (PL)
 00, 2022 		José Reguffe (PODE)
 00, 2022
Cabo Daciolo (PMB)
Dec 16, 2021 		Luiz Henrique Mandetta (UB)
Nov 25, 2021 		João Amoêdo (NOVO)
Jun 00, 2021 		Hamilton Mourão (PRTB)
Apr 30, 2021 		Rui Costa (PT)
 00, 2021 		Flávio Dino (PCdoB)
 00, 2021 		Fernando Haddad (PT)
 00, 2021 		Renan Filho (MDB)
 00, 2021
Ibaneis Rocha (MDB)
 00, 2021 		Camilo Santana (PT)
 00, 2021 		Michel Temer (MDB)
 00, 2021

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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 16, 2022 03:45pm Speech Lula says Bolsonaro ‘possessed by devil’ as he launches Brazil election campaign  Article RP 
May 06, 2022 08:00am Strategy Brazil’s Bolsonaro says he will seek audit of voting system  Article RP 
Nov 17, 2020 05:00am General Brazilian leftists seek to emulate US Democrats' unity to beat Bolsonaro  Article IndyGeorgia 

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