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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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AR US President
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| Parents |
> United States > Arkansas > President
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| Parent Race | US President - Popular Vote |
| Office | President |
| Honorific | President - Abbr: President |
| Type | General Election |
| Filing Deadline | --- |
| Polls Open | November 03, 2020 - 07:30am Central |
| Polls Close | November 03, 2020 - 07:30pm Central |
| Term Start | January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm |
| Contributor | RP |
| Last Modified | RP August 16, 2023 08:56am |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
| Description |
Phil Collins is the Presidential candidate on a ticket with Billy Joe Parker and the Vice Presidential candidate on a ticket with Connie "C. L." Gammon.
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| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 16 Previous Messages] |
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 Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
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Tue, June 16, 2020 04:04:52 AM UTC0:00
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Indiana*
The 2008 Indiana Result is a political force majeure https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=191866&ShowAllMUPoll=Y - totally unforeseeable at the onset of the campaign and a natural disaster for the McCain campaign. McCain had to redirect funds to buy air time in Indiana to try and save the State. You knew it was over then for McCain.
The lesson from Indiana is that there was a huge swing in Indianapolis - 13 points that made this state competitive for Obama. It looks like Selzer & Co picked up on this early in their polling. I'll be the first to say some of the some dynamics appear to be helping Biden today.
The only difference is the in every county in Indiana there was a swing to the Democrats from the Republicans in 2008 vs 2004. I don't think that exists today.
But if Trump starts buying air time in states like Indiana or Arkansas in October or sooner, then yeh I'll say this election is pretty much in the bag for Biden.
FInally, I think Iowa will move into tossup territory before Arkansas does.
Maryland Republican: Indiana*
The 2008 Indiana Result is a political force majeure [Link] - totally unforeseeable at the onset of the campaign and a natural disaster for the McCain campaign. McCain had to redirect funds to buy air time in Indiana to try and save the State. You knew it was over then for McCain.
The lesson from Indiana is that there was a huge swing in Indianapolis - 13 points that made this state competitive for Obama. It looks like Selzer & Co picked up on this early in their polling. I'll be the first to say some of the some dynamics appear to be helping Biden today.
The only difference is the in every county in Indiana there was a swing to the Democrats from the Republicans in 2008 vs 2004. I don't think that exists today.
But if Trump starts buying air time in states like Indiana or Arkansas in October or sooner, then yeh I'll say this election is pretty much in the bag for Biden.
FInally, I think Iowa will move into tossup territory before Arkansas does.
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 D:1 | RP ( 5618.8218 points)
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Tue, June 16, 2020 08:35:56 AM UTC0:00
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Marris was clearly stuck in 1996.
Marris was clearly stuck in 1996.
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| D:9362 | An_62190 ( 650.8763 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 12:36:12 AM UTC0:00
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Jorgensen is getting 2% in the recent poll but I can't put her in for some reason
https://talkbusiness.net/2020/10/trump-cotton-on-cruise-control-for-re-election/
Jorgensen is getting 2% in the recent poll but I can't put her in for some reason
[Link]
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4590.4668 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 12:51:31 AM UTC0:00
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Add her to the straw poll, and then drop her.
Add her to the straw poll, and then drop her.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 02:30:27 AM UTC0:00
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fixed it up.. amazing pivot by Talk Business/Hendrix
fixed it up.. amazing pivot by Talk Business/Hendrix
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.8218 points)
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Tue, October 20, 2020 01:34:52 PM UTC0:00
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Guess they didn't want the bias hit after all.
Guess they didn't want the bias hit after all.
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