Rachel Bitecofer has Arizona as lean Democratic. https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/?utm_source=Elections&utm_campaign=c4aa9f280c-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_03_24_03_21&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_e9a51753cc-c4aa9f280c-536402078
Rachel Bitecofer has Arizona as lean Democratic. [Link]
The Trump campaign is cancelling all ads in Arizona next week. https://www.azmirror.com/2020/09/04/trump-campaign-going-dark-in-arizona-cancels-planned-tv-blitz/
The Trump campaign is cancelling all ads in Arizona next week. [Link]
I'm skeptical that TV ads have much effect for well known candidates, but this still looks like a sign of weakness.
I don't see political ads because of some combination of the amount of TV I watch, what I watch, how I watch (through streaming services), and skipping commercials. I'm curious about others here though:
I'm skeptical that TV ads have much effect for well known candidates, but this still looks like a sign of weakness.
I don't see political ads because of some combination of the amount of TV I watch, what I watch, how I watch (through streaming services), and skipping commercials. I'm curious about others here though:
The closest to TV ads that I see on any platform are the ads that play before or after (occaisionally during) Youtube videos, and those are political ads every once in a while
The closest to TV ads that I see on any platform are the ads that play before or after (occaisionally during) Youtube videos, and those are political ads every once in a while
I would say that about a third of all ads on television in eastern Pennsylvania are political.
Overall I think that Biden's ads are better produced to influence the race. Trump's ads are entirely aimed at his base rather than whoever might be undecided at this point.
I would say that about a third of all ads on television in eastern Pennsylvania are political.
Overall I think that Biden's ads are better produced to influence the race. Trump's ads are entirely aimed at his base rather than whoever might be undecided at this point.
We are on streaming services only so probably not typical.
The ads I see are mostly on Youtube, Hulu, and Peacock but are clearly targted by my ip address I get:
- The same 3 anti-Hickelooper ads saying he is corrupt which I keep feeling are a tremendous waste of money
- 2 pro Gardner ads which are good and affirm why I like him as a Senator
- a couple of bad and very forgetable pro-Hickenlooper ads
- and a Cheetos ad I really like and makes me laugh every time and I just realized is a four year old ad when I looked it up on YouTube for this post
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XSMZhCCEFuA
We are on streaming services only so probably not typical.
The ads I see are mostly on Youtube, Hulu, and Peacock but are clearly targted by my ip address I get:
- The same 3 anti-Hickelooper ads saying he is corrupt which I keep feeling are a tremendous waste of money
- 2 pro Gardner ads which are good and affirm why I like him as a Senator
- a couple of bad and very forgetable pro-Hickenlooper ads
- and a Cheetos ad I really like and makes me laugh every time and I just realized is a four year old ad when I looked it up on YouTube for this post
I added the Grant Woods endorsement because he recently released an internet ad identifying himself as the former Republican Attorney General of Arizona.
I added the Grant Woods endorsement because he recently released an internet ad identifying himself as the former Republican Attorney General of Arizona.
Pulling ads is definitely a sign of weakness. I will say the only political ads I have seen have been Stacey Abrams and Chuck Schumer asking for money. And I don't have cable television. On top of that the only other way I see ads are on the New Jersey Globe because they report literally every little thing over there.
Pulling ads is definitely a sign of weakness. I will say the only political ads I have seen have been Stacey Abrams and Chuck Schumer asking for money. And I don't have cable television. On top of that the only other way I see ads are on the New Jersey Globe because they report literally every little thing over there.
The NYT/Siena poll shows a nine point lead for Biden in Maricopa County (Trump won by three in 2016). https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/05/us/elections/politics-arizona-poll.html?smid=tw-share
The NYT/Siena poll shows a nine point lead for Biden in Maricopa County (Trump won by three in 2016). [Link]
Interesting morning consult poll.
This one is relatively good for Trump, but Morning Consult also had Biden up 7 in Florida, 9 in Pennsylvania, and 12 in Wisconsin. I think we have to assume it is all polling noise.
BrentinCO: Interesting morning consult poll.
This one is relatively good for Trump, but Morning Consult also had Biden up 7 in Florida, 9 in Pennsylvania, and 12 in Wisconsin. I think we have to assume it is all polling noise.
Even if Biden had lost Arizona, you can't overstate its importance in defeating the Trump narrative. By being down in Arizona on election night, it made the "stop the count" nonsense appear extra ridiculous.
Even if Biden had lost Arizona, you can't overstate its importance in defeating the Trump narrative. By being down in Arizona on election night, it made the "stop the count" nonsense appear extra ridiculous.
D:9602
DP:6380
Joker:9757
