Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  TN District 01 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Tennessee > TN - District 01
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open August 06, 2020 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 06, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH September 03, 2020 04:30pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NamePhil Roe Votes172,835 (77.06%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin125,697 (+56.04%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameDiana Harshbarger Votes228,181 (74.71%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin159,564 (+52.24%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceTN District 01 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/02/2019 08/06/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Rusty Crowe 1 ------
Diana Harshbarger 3 ------
Leaning Call: Diana Harshbarger (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Diana Harshbarger (103.03%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/21/2020 07/30/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Diana Harshbarger St. Rep. Timothy Hill St. Sen. Rusty Crowe Josh Gapp Steven Darden John Clark St. Rep. David B. Hawk
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 18,074 (19.17%) 15,731 (16.69%) 15,179 (16.10%) 13,379 (14.19%) 11,647 (12.36%) 8,826 (9.36%) 4,717 (5.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,343 (-2.49%) -2,895 (-3.07%) -4,695 (-4.98%) -6,427 (-6.82%) -9,248 (-9.81%) -13,357 (-14.17%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 7/17 $351,997.25 7/17 $14,523.48 7/17 $107,960.24 3/31 $67,167.04 7/17 $80,820.36 7/17 $28,204.37 7/17 $13,106.10
Website
Entry Date 03/25/2020 00/00/2020 02/10/2020 04/02/2020 01/03/2020 01/03/2020 00/00/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg15.80%-- 10.40%-- 16.10%-- 11.70%-- 9.30%-- 8.90%-- 6.00%--
Spry Strategies 
07/28/20-07/30/20		 15.80% 6.6 10.40% 0.9 16.10% 2.1 11.70% 5.8 9.30% 3.4 8.90% 3.9 6.00% 0.1
Spry Strategies 
06/21/20-06/24/20		 22.40% -- 11.30% -- 14.00% -- 5.90% -- 5.90% -- 5.00% -- 6.10% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R James "Jim" Jordan 🔗
  Club for Growth
R Southern_Moderate2
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Nichole Williams Jay Adkins Carter M. Quillen Richard G. Baker Chad Fleenor Phil Arlinghaus Robert D. Franklin
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,803 (2.97%) 1,635 (1.74%) 853 (0.91%) 298 (0.32%) 282 (0.30%) 274 (0.29%) 229 (0.24%)
Margin-15,271 (-16.20%) -16,439 (-17.44%) -17,221 (-18.27%) -17,776 (-18.86%) -17,792 (-18.87%) -17,800 (-18.88%) -17,845 (-18.93%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 1/31 $305.59 $-- 9/30 $206.03 $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 00/00/2020 03/30/2020 03/17/2020 03/30/2020 03/25/2020 03/17/2020 04/02/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Spry Strategies 
07/28/20-07/30/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Spry Strategies 
06/21/20-06/24/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 2 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Jon Lundberg (R)
Jan 07, 2020 		Phil Roe (R)
Jan 03, 2020

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
06/11/2020 Josh Gapp TVAd Humor eng Gapp  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jan 24, 2020 09:00pm News ‘Laying groundwork: Rep. Timothy Hill purchases ‘timothyhillforcongress.com’ url  Not Available Southern Moderate 
Jan 03, 2020 05:00pm News Race to replace Roe: Two in, four confirmed “pondering,” more expected  Article Southern Moderate 
Jan 03, 2020 05:00pm News Roe Retiring: Congressman won't seek another term  Article Southern Moderate 

DISCUSSION
[View All
10
Previous Messages]