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  MA US Senate - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Massachusetts > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 02, 2020 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open September 01, 2020 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close September 01, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Invalid Votes Under Votes: 13,880
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedCharlotte Rose October 04, 2020 03:07pm
Data Sources[Link]
/photo/1
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2014
NameEdward J. Markey Votes1,289,944 (61.87%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin497,994 (+23.88%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameEdward J. Markey Votes2,357,809 (66.15%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin1,180,044 (+33.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMA US Senate 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/11/2019 09/01/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Joseph P. Kennedy, III 3 1 3 --
Edward J. Markey 8 6 2 --
Leaning Call: Edward J. Markey (65.00%)
Weighted Call: Edward J. Markey (96.91%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/05/2019 08/27/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Edward J. Markey Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy, III (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 782,694 (55.35%) 629,359 (44.51%) 1,935 (0.14%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -153,335 (-10.84%) -780,759 (-55.22%)  
Predict Avg.52.49% 47.51% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 10/14/2018 09/21/2019 06/02/2020  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (12 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.02%-- 42.06%-- 0.00%--  
Emerson College 
08/25/20-08/27/20
56.40% 14.4 43.60% 14.4 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
08/24/20-08/25/20
50.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Massachusetts 
08/13/20-08/21/20
52.00% 1.0 40.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
08/12/20-08/16/20
44.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Massachusetts 
07/31/20-08/07/20
51.00% 8.0 36.00% 4.0 0.00% --
JMC Analytics and Polling 
07/29/20-07/30/20
44.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Shannon Liss-Riordan (D)
May 20, 2019 - Jan 17, 2020
Steve Pemberton (D)
Jul 23, 2019 - Oct 14, 2019
Ayanna S. Pressley (D)
Oct 04, 2019

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/21/2020 Edward J. Markey vs Joseph P. Kennedy, III TVAd Endorsement eng Sticking with Ed  00:00:30 RP 
08/13/2020 Edward J. Markey Web Only Ad Mixed eng The Green New Dealmaker  00:02:56 E Pluribus Unum 
07/30/2020 Edward J. Markey TVAd Endorsement eng Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: Ideas  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 12, 2020 03:00pm News Kennedy allies sweat as Massachusetts Senate race tightens  Article WA Indy 
Jul 27, 2020 01:55pm Oops Kennedy hit Markey for ignoring the towns of Dana, Enfield, and Prescott. But there was just one problem  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jan 29, 2020 10:40am News Joe Kennedy to host Spanish-only town halls for Senate campaign  Article WA Indy 
Sep 24, 2019 05:00am News Democrats dread Kennedy-Markey showdown in 2020  Article WA Indy 
Sep 19, 2019 08:00am News Joe Kennedy to challenge Sen. Markey in primary  Article Bojicat 
Aug 16, 2019 05:15pm News Joe Kennedy-for-Senate backers mount drive to drum out Ed Markey  Article EastTexasDem 

DISCUSSION
[View All
125
Previous Messages]
 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3666.8198 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 04:44:06 AM UTC0:00
I’m not expert, but my guess would be generational and probably the last name. If his name was Joseph Kennedy, Markey would be gliding towards re-election.

 
I:10200Jeaux ( 55.7098 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 01:54:41 PM UTC0:00
I definitely prefer Kennedy primarily for the generational part...I personally think getting more of the younger generations into the federal government will go a long way

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 02:33:53 PM UTC0:00
WSNJ: I am ignorant when it comes to Massachusetts politics, why is Kennedy primarying Markey. Shouldn't the left have little to complain over him - or am I missing something

The Left has nothing to do with Kennedy's Primary, the more adherent leftists are backing Markey (Ro, AOC, Our Revolution). Kennedy is repeating the strategy of Seth Moulton and Ayanna Pressley, primary on ur age alone saying you'll bring a "new face" to politics and when u do ur digging they are either worse than or are no different than the incumbent

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 02:40:19 PM UTC0:00
The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 05:44:50 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.
The diffrence is, the Left Primaries politicians that are bad to push issues, this is just a guy who wants to be like his papa

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.8373 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 05:48:51 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: The left also has ambitious politicians that aren't willing to wait for someone to step aside.

The Left is never wrong

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Fri, July 17, 2020 05:54:28 PM UTC0:00
WA Indy: The Left is never wrong

Glad to see ur on my page

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Fri, July 31, 2020 04:04:03 PM UTC0:00
Well, JMC isn't the best pollster, but this is interesting.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Fri, July 31, 2020 10:47:22 PM UTC0:00
The world has changed if a Kennedy doesn't get elected in Massachusetts

 
I:9775Natalie ( 107.9987 points)
Tue, August 4, 2020 12:10:57 AM UTC0:00
#Markeymentum #Markeychusetts

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Tue, August 4, 2020 12:43:58 AM UTC0:00
Mine is #SnarkyWithMarkey

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Thu, August 6, 2020 05:25:19 AM UTC0:00
[Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Thu, August 6, 2020 04:22:37 PM UTC0:00
@southern moderate2 what is the point of your link?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Thu, August 6, 2020 06:13:49 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: @southern moderate2 what is the point of your link?

Showin Markey was lit AF?

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Thu, August 13, 2020 02:04:36 AM UTC0:00
So as ppl got to know him they decided they didn't like him?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Thu, August 13, 2020 03:49:52 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: So as ppl got to know him they decided they didn't like him?

Exactly, he thought he could breeze his way through this on the Kennedy name but in this day in age, that don't fly

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 308.4136 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:06:20 AM UTC0:00
Is Markey more Progressive and to the left to Kennedy?. Im just wondering what the main differences is between the two of them.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
x4
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:26:19 AM UTC0:00
Progressive Scot: Im just wondering what the main differences is between the two of them.

One is a Kennedy, the other isn't.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:30:21 AM UTC0:00
Yes he absolutely is.

Markey supported Med4All when Bernie brought it to the Senate and during his house Tenure while Joe took didn't support it till now.

2 years ago he was openly against Marijuana Legalization

Not that long ago Kennedy's family had huge stocks in Fossil Fuel Industries while Markey is Senate sponsor of GND

Kennedy is running a policy empty opportunist campaign mooching off his families name

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 308.4136 points)
x2
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:33:07 AM UTC0:00
To be honest had i been a Massachusetts voter id of voted for Markey. I love how authentic and passionate he is about environmental and supporting communities.

Kennedy seems more opportunistic, can't say im a fan of him.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:45:54 AM UTC0:00
Progressive Scot: Kennedy seems more opportunistic

This is a pretty good analysis of the race and why Kennedy chose to challenge Markey now.
[Link]

From the article:

So why is Kennedy challenging Markey in the primary?

It appears to be a combination of ambition and style.

For a Kennedy, the ambition part is obvious. He’s the grandson of Robert F. Kennedy and the grand-nephew of John F. Kennedy and Ted Kennedy, each of whom served in the Senate. His father, Joe Kennedy II, previously served in the House. Kennedy III has already been elected four times to his House seat.

“The problem for ambitious Democrats in a heavily Democratic or Republican state — a state like Massachusetts — is that the ladder to the top statewide offices is often blocked by long-time incumbents,” said Steve Smith, a political scientist at Washington University in St. Louis who specializes in the Senate.

“The probability of knocking off such an incumbent is low, so primary challenges are uncommon. But a candidate with ambition and non-zero chances of winning may come to a ‘now or never’ decision.”

If Kennedy were to wait, a future Democratic primary “could see high-powered contestants like Attorney General Maura Healey or Reps. Seth Moulton or Ayanna Pressley,” said Maurice T. Cunningham, a University of Massachusetts-Boston political scientist. “If an opening does not come up in 2021, it could be four to six years — or even more — before a Senate seat opens. Polling told Kennedy that Markey is vulnerable, and the possible candidates down the road are all formidable.”

I actually think it will probably be a good thing if Markey defeats Kennedy. I've never been a big fan of the idea that just because someone is the offspring of a well-known politician that makes them qualified to hold political office. But in this country and others, voters seem to do it time and time again. Admittedly, when Kennedy announced, I automatically picked him to beat Markey easy. If Markey defeats Kennedy in this race, future Kennedys will actually have to earn their nominations instead of just expect them.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:52:04 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO:
I actually think it will probably be a good thing if Markey defeats Kennedy. I've never been a big fan of the idea that just because someone is the offspring of a well-known politician that makes them qualified to hold political office. But in this country and others, voters seem to do it time and time again. Admittedly, when Kennedy announced, I automatically picked him to beat Markey easy. If Markey defeats Kennedy in this race, future Kennedys will actually have to earn their nominations instead of just expect them.

Well ur in luck, as the days go by, people see Kennedy as what he is. A watered down version of his family (Doesn't even have the accent)

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 308.4136 points)
Sun, August 16, 2020 01:00:44 PM UTC0:00
Maybe Kennedy should of waited and ran for governor in 2022. Rather than engage in a costly primary

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 478.4198 points)
x2
Mon, August 17, 2020 04:16:28 AM UTC0:00


Damn I might have to shill out some money...

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Mon, August 17, 2020 04:37:23 AM UTC0:00
He literally has NOTHING

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