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  KY District 04 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Kentucky > KY - District 04
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 10, 2020 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open June 23, 2020 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close June 23, 2020 - 05:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout 28.99% Registered 12.57% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH July 21, 2020 01:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameThomas Massie Votes162,946 (62.24%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin72,410 (+27.66%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameThomas Massie Votes256,613 (67.09%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin130,717 (+34.17%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceKY District 04 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/14/2019 06/23/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Thomas Massie 3 --1 3
Todd V. McMurtry 2 ------
Leaning Call: Thomas Massie (90.00%)
Weighted Call: Thomas Massie (99.48%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/08/2019 04/28/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. Thomas Massie Todd V. McMurtry  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 68,591 (81.00%) 16,092 (19.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -52,499 (-61.99%)  
Predict Avg.51.00% 49.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/3 $368,600.81 6/3 $12,888.21  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2019 01/10/2020  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg70.00%-- 13.00%--  
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
04/27/20-04/28/20		 70.00% 6.0 13.00% --
WPA Intelligence (WPAi) 
07/08/19-07/09/19		 64.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
NDP BigZuck08
I ThatAlabamaGuy
Grasshopper
LBT PA Historian
R Rand Paul 🔗
I Charlotte Rose
R Mr. Politics
R Impy
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kimberly Poore Moser (R)
 00, 2019

EVENTS
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04/02/2020 TVAd Attack eng Blowtorch  00:00:30 BrentinCO 

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
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DISCUSSION
[View All
12
Previous Messages]
 
R:7501Maryland Republican ( 3666.8198 points)
Tue, June 30, 2020 08:12:10 PM UTC0:00
Trivial at best, but on Election Night, Massie was up 87-13. So mail in votes it appears broke stronger; and I use that term loosely since it’s just a couple percentage points, for McMurty.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Tue, June 30, 2020 08:24:27 PM UTC0:00
obligatory joke/observation about Massie supporters not being fazed by disease outbreaks to vote in person