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HI District 02 - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Hawai'i
>
HI - District 02
Office
House of Representatives
Honorific
Representative - Abbr: Rep.
Type
Democratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline
June 02, 2020 - 08:30pm Central
Polls Open
August 08, 2020 - 11:00am Central
Polls Close
August 08, 2020 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Turnout
21.80% Total Population
Invalid Votes
Over Votes: 381, Under Votes: 20,904
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
RBH
August 21, 2020 12:49pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/06/2018
Name
Tulsi Gabbard
Votes
153,271 (77.36%)
Term
01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021
Margin
108,421 (+54.72%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/03/2020
Name
Kaiali‘i "Kai" Kahele
Votes
171,517 (63.03%)
Term
01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023
Margin
87,490 (+32.15%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
HI District 02 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
06/05/2019
08/08/2020
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Tulsi Gabbard
--
1
--
--
Kaiali‘i "Kai" Kahele
4
1
2
3
Leaning Call: Kaiali‘i "Kai" Kahele (92.31%)
Weighted Call: Kaiali‘i "Kai" Kahele (100.01%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
09/27/2019
09/29/2019
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Public Policy Polling
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Majority Floor Leader
Kaiali‘i "Kai" Kahele
Brian Evans
Brenda L. Machado Lee
Noelle Famera
Party
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
100,841 (76.47%)
12,337 (9.36%)
10,694 (8.11%)
7,992 (6.06%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-88,504 (-67.12%)
-90,147 (-68.36%)
-92,849 (-70.41%)
Predict Avg.
46.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
7/19 $307,008.75
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
01/21/2019
01/15/2020
06/02/2020
00/00/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
26.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Public Policy Polling
09/27/19-09/29/19
26.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D
Neera Tanden
🔗
D
Charlotte KAP
D
Bernard P. Carvalho, Jr.
🔗
D
Kaniela Ing
🔗
D
Tina M. L. Wildberger
🔗
D
Christopher L. T. Todd
🔗
D
Joy A. San Buenaventura
🔗
D
Cedric Asuega Gates
🔗
D
Stacelynn K. M. Eli
🔗
D
Maile S. L. Shimabukuro
🔗
D
Gil Riviere
🔗
D
Clarence K Nishihara
🔗
D
Jarrett K. Keohokalole
🔗
D
Dru Mamo Kanuha
🔗
R
Kurt Fevella
🔗
D
Stanley Chang
🔗
D
EastTexasDem
D
Old Dominion Democrat
D
John D. Waihee III
🔗
D
Neil Abercrombie
🔗
D
Benjamin J. Cayetano
🔗
I
Jason Kishineff
🔗
D
Ryan Blevins
🔗
D
Heidi Briones
🔗
D
Melodie Williams Aduja
🔗
R
Max Abramson
🔗
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Chris Lee (D)
Jan 08, 2020
Bernard P. Carvalho, Jr. (D)
Nov 18, 2019
Kaniela Ing (D)
Nov 03, 2019
Tulsi Gabbard (D)
Oct 24, 2019
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION
[View All
15
Previous Messages]
D:1
RP
( 5639.5112 points)
x3
Tue, October 29, 2019 04:24:12 PM UTC0:00
To be an advocate for authoritarian regimes everywhere.
To be an advocate for authoritarian regimes everywhere.
D:9642
EastTexasDem
( 1194.2174 points)
Sun, November 3, 2019 11:47:14 PM UTC0:00
Hawaii's only Republican senator endorses Kahele. https://bigislandnow.com/2019/11/02/kahele-receives-key-endorsements-for-house-seat/
Hawaii's only Republican senator endorses Kahele.
[Link]