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  TN US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Tennessee > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2020 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 06, 2020 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 06, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00am
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00am
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH September 03, 2020 04:17pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameLamar Alexander Votes850,087 (61.87%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin412,239 (+30.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameBill Hagerty Votes1,840,926 (62.20%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin800,235 (+27.04%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceTN US Senate 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/18/2018 08/06/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bill Haslam --1 ----
Bill Hagerty 5 1 2 --
Leaning Call: Bill Hagerty (86.67%)
Weighted Call: Bill Hagerty (96.90%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/13/2019 07/08/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Ambassador Bill Hagerty Manny Sethi Cty Brd. George S. Flinn, Jr. Jon Henry Natisha Brooks Byron Bush Clifford Adkins
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 331,267 (50.75%) 257,223 (39.41%) 22,454 (3.44%) 8,104 (1.24%) 8,072 (1.24%) 5,420 (0.83%) 5,316 (0.81%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -74,044 (-11.34%) -308,813 (-47.31%) -323,163 (-49.51%) -323,195 (-49.51%) -325,847 (-49.92%) -325,951 (-49.94%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 09/09/2019 06/02/2019 03/25/2020 03/19/2020 03/16/2020 -- 03/25/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg40.96%-- 34.70%-- 4.65%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
07/06/20-07/08/20
42.30% -- 38.80% -- 3.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Phones 
06/30/20-07/01/20
33.00% -- 31.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
06/28/20-06/30/20
46.00% -- 29.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Triton Polling 
04/13/19-04/16/19
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Terry Dicus Tom Emerson, Jr. David Schuster John E. Osborne Roy Cope Kent A. Morrell Aaron L. Pettigrew
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,279 (0.35%) 2,252 (0.35%) 2,045 (0.31%) 1,877 (0.29%) 1,791 (0.27%) 1,769 (0.27%) 1,622 (0.25%)
Margin-328,988 (-50.40%) -329,015 (-50.41%) -329,222 (-50.44%) -329,390 (-50.46%) -329,476 (-50.48%) -329,498 (-50.48%) -329,645 (-50.50%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/01/2020 03/26/2020 03/18/2020 03/30/2020 03/01/2020 03/13/2020 04/01/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
07/06/20-07/08/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Phones 
06/30/20-07/01/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
06/28/20-06/30/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Triton Polling 
04/13/19-04/16/19
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 1 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
David Kustoff (R)
Jul 26, 2019
Mark Green (R)
Jul 11, 2019
Bill Haslam (R)
Jul 11, 2019
Bob Corker (R)
Dec 20, 2018
Randy Boyd (R)
Dec 18, 2018
Lamar Alexander (R)
Dec 17, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/10/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Leftwing Lockdown  00:00:30 RP 
07/08/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Dr. Manny - Babies  00:00:30 RP 
07/02/2020 Bill Hagerty TVAd Endorsement eng The Right Choice  00:00:30 RP 
07/02/2020 Bill Hagerty TVAd Issue eng The Trump Conservative  00:00:30 RP 
06/25/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Mobs  00:00:30 RP 
04/29/2020 vs Bill Hagerty TVAd Attack eng Loan  00:01:00 RP 
04/16/2020 TVAd Issue eng Tough on China  00:00:15 RP 
04/03/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:01:00 RP 
10/14/2019 Manny Sethi TVAd Biography eng Invasion  00:01:00 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 02, 2020 12:00pm News Zach Wamp Says Hagerty Hired Young Girls In Short Shorts For Rallies; Senator Blackburn Rails Against Accusation  Article RBH 

DISCUSSION
[View All
18
Previous Messages]
 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0778 points)
Tue, June 18, 2019 07:08:34 PM UTC0:00
Is it possible to be represented in the U.S. Senate by a worse combination than Blackburn and Green?

 
I:10305Sergeant Hooker ( 122.9027 points)
Tue, June 18, 2019 08:32:43 PM UTC0:00
Do you think Green runs for the US Senate seat ?

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0778 points)
Tue, June 18, 2019 08:40:30 PM UTC0:00
DailyKos reported today that he is still weighing an entry into this race. Their reporting also says that Haslam will decide in the next 2-3 weeks.

 
R:9804Southern Moderate ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, June 18, 2019 09:19:03 PM UTC0:00
I don't think Haslam runs.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Tue, June 18, 2019 11:30:31 PM UTC0:00
Old Dominion Democrat: Is it possible to be represented in the U.S. Senate by a worse combination than Blackburn and Green?

Not if you are conservative.

Would rival the Hawley / Blunt Missouri combo as best conservative tag-team if its realized.

 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0778 points)
x2
Wed, June 19, 2019 06:42:54 PM UTC0:00
What if I told you it were possible to be politically conservative without peddling conspiracy theories and demonizing entire demographics of people?

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, June 19, 2019 08:30:12 PM UTC0:00
Old Dominion Democrat: What if I told you it were possible to be politically conservative without peddling conspiracy theories and demonizing entire demographics of people?

If you are talking about Green being an anti-vaccer I’ll say that is one area I don’t agree with him on.

 
R:9804Southern Moderate ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, July 12, 2019 10:33:15 PM UTC0:00
Trump endorsement is big.

 
I:10692Count Awesome ( 374.7370 points)
Wed, July 1, 2020 04:45:52 AM UTC0:00
To whom this may concern:
I am a new user to Our Campaigns, so I have a question for the more experienced users of the site. I was looking on this page for the predictions on the Tennessee Senate race, and I see that former Gov. Bill Haslam has been listed as having a chance for winning the race. I live in Tennessee and know for a fact that Haslam is not running for the Senate, nor will his name be listed on the ballot. I am just curious as to how Haslam has affected the race prediction on this site, and I think a candidate that actually warrants more consideration is Manny Sethi. I’m just offering a suggestion here, and I would appreciate your consideration. Thanks!

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4113.6006 points)
Wed, July 1, 2020 08:50:27 PM UTC0:00
Hello Mr. Awesome (going with Mr. since you are a Count),

The predictions are based on user picks. The person who picked Haslam made that prediction in 2018. Some people have reasons for waiting to change their pick, but you are correct that predicting Haslam for this race will not turn out well.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, July 1, 2020 09:34:50 PM UTC0:00
I can believe I just realized this was a race this year an Alexander wasn't running.

This seems to have flown under the radar.

 
I:10692Count Awesome ( 374.7370 points)
Fri, July 3, 2020 06:59:35 AM UTC0:00
Thank you IndyGeorgia for clarifying my confusion. In regard to the Tennessee Senate race, I see it as being really a two candidate race between Hagerty and Sethi. President Trump actually tweeted the announcement for Hagerty’s Senate bid and endorsed him, so he’s been posturing himself as the presumptive Senate nominee. You’re definitely right BrentinCO when you point out how quiet this race has been.

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Sun, July 26, 2020 06:08:27 AM UTC0:00
It's been a nasty race