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  TN US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Tennessee > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2020 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 06, 2020 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 06, 2020 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2021 - 12:00am
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00am
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRBH September 03, 2020 04:17pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameLamar Alexander Votes850,087 (61.87%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2021 Margin412,239 (+30.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameBill Hagerty Votes1,840,926 (62.20%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin800,235 (+27.04%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceTN US Senate 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/18/2018 08/06/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bill Haslam --1 ----
Bill Hagerty 5 1 2 --
Leaning Call: Bill Hagerty (86.67%)
Weighted Call: Bill Hagerty (96.51%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/13/2019 07/08/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Ambassador Bill Hagerty Manny Sethi Cty Brd. George S. Flinn, Jr. Jon Henry Natisha Brooks Byron Bush Clifford Adkins
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 331,267 (50.75%) 257,223 (39.41%) 22,454 (3.44%) 8,104 (1.24%) 8,072 (1.24%) 5,420 (0.83%) 5,316 (0.81%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -74,044 (-11.34%) -308,813 (-47.31%) -323,163 (-49.51%) -323,195 (-49.51%) -325,847 (-49.92%) -325,951 (-49.94%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 09/09/2019 06/02/2019 03/25/2020 03/19/2020 03/16/2020 -- 03/25/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg40.96%-- 34.70%-- 4.65%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
07/06/20-07/08/20
42.30% -- 38.80% -- 3.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Phones 
06/30/20-07/01/20
33.00% -- 31.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
06/28/20-06/30/20
46.00% -- 29.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Triton Polling 
04/13/19-04/16/19
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Terry Dicus Tom Emerson, Jr. David Schuster John E. Osborne Roy Cope Kent A. Morrell Aaron L. Pettigrew
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,279 (0.35%) 2,252 (0.35%) 2,045 (0.31%) 1,877 (0.29%) 1,791 (0.27%) 1,769 (0.27%) 1,622 (0.25%)
Margin-328,988 (-50.40%) -329,015 (-50.41%) -329,222 (-50.44%) -329,390 (-50.46%) -329,476 (-50.48%) -329,498 (-50.48%) -329,645 (-50.50%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 03/01/2020 03/26/2020 03/18/2020 03/30/2020 03/01/2020 03/13/2020 04/01/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
07/06/20-07/08/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Victory Phones 
06/30/20-07/01/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
06/28/20-06/30/20
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Triton Polling 
04/13/19-04/16/19
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 1 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
David Kustoff (R)
Jul 26, 2019
Mark Green (R)
Jul 11, 2019
Bill Haslam (R)
Jul 11, 2019
Bob Corker (R)
Dec 20, 2018
Randy Boyd (R)
Dec 18, 2018
Lamar Alexander (R)
Dec 17, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/10/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Leftwing Lockdown  00:00:30 RP 
07/08/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Dr. Manny - Babies  00:00:30 RP 
07/02/2020 Bill Hagerty TVAd Endorsement eng The Right Choice  00:00:30 RP 
07/02/2020 Bill Hagerty TVAd Issue eng The Trump Conservative  00:00:30 RP 
06/25/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Issue eng Mobs  00:00:30 RP 
04/29/2020 vs Bill Hagerty TVAd Attack eng Loan  00:01:00 RP 
04/16/2020 TVAd Issue eng Tough on China  00:00:15 RP 
04/03/2020 Manny Sethi TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:01:00 RP 
10/14/2019 Manny Sethi TVAd Biography eng Invasion  00:01:00 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 02, 2020 12:00pm News Zach Wamp Says Hagerty Hired Young Girls In Short Shorts For Rallies; Senator Blackburn Rails Against Accusation  Article RBH 

DISCUSSION
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