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AUS House of Representatives - Primary Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
Australia
>
House of Representatives
>
AUS House of Representatives - Initial Vote
Office
Parliament
Honorific
Member of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type
Control Indicator
Filing Deadline
00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
May 18, 2019 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close
May 18, 2019 - 01:00am Central
Term Start
May 18, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End
May 21, 2022 - 12:00pm
Contributor
IndyGeorgia
Last Modified
IndyGeorgia
May 20, 2022 08:07pm
Data Sources
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/10/2018
05/18/2019
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Australian Labor Party
4
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Australian Labor Party (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Australian Labor Party (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
08/23/2018
02/11/2019
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Essential Research
Newspoll (Australia)
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Australian Labor Party
Liberal Party of Australia
Australian Greens
Liberal National Party of Queensland
National Party of Australia
Others
Independents
Party
Labor
Liberal
Greens
Liberal National
National
Independent
Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes (83.33% in)
4,339,003 (33.53%)
3,626,766 (28.03%)
1,283,812 (9.92%)
1,135,968 (8.78%)
610,899 (4.72%)
521,831 (4.03%)
444,917 (3.44%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-712,237 (-5.50%)
-3,055,191 (-23.61%)
-3,203,035 (-24.75%)
-3,728,104 (-28.81%)
-3,817,172 (-29.50%)
-3,894,086 (-30.09%)
Estimated Final
5,062,314 (33.53%)
4,231,347 (28.03%)
1,497,823 (9.92%)
1,325,333 (8.78%)
712,735 (4.72%)
608,820 (4.03%)
519,084 (3.44%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
[Website]
Entry Date
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
34.39%
--
37.61%
--
10.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Essential Research
02/06/19-02/11/19
38.00%
2.0
34.00%
3.0
10.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
12/06/18-12/09/18
40.00%
--
34.00%
--
9.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Essential Research
12/04/18-12/07/18
36.00%
--
37.00%
--
11.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
11/23/18-11/25/18
40.00%
1.0
34.00%
1.0
9.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
08/23/18-08/26/18
41.00%
--
33.00%
--
10.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
United Australia Party
Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party
Katter's Australian Party
Centre Alliance
Country Liberal Party
Christian Democratic Party
Animal Justice Party
Party
United Australia
One Nation
Katter's Australian
Centre Alliance
Country Liberal
Christian Democrats
Animal Justice
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes (83.33% in)
437,813 (3.38%)
394,107 (3.05%)
64,338 (0.50%)
43,576 (0.34%)
36,812 (0.28%)
0 (0.00%)
0 (0.00%)
Margin
-3,901,190 (-30.15%)
-3,944,896 (-30.49%)
-4,274,665 (-33.03%)
-4,295,427 (-33.20%)
-4,302,191 (-33.25%)
-4,339,003 (-33.53%)
-4,339,003 (-33.53%)
Estimated Final
510,796 (3.38%)
459,804 (3.05%)
75,063 (0.50%)
50,840 (0.34%)
42,948 (0.28%)
0 (0.00%)
0 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
7.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Essential Research
02/06/19-02/11/19
0.00%
--
7.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
12/06/18-12/09/18
0.00%
--
8.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Essential Research
12/04/18-12/07/18
0.00%
--
7.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
11/23/18-11/25/18
0.00%
--
8.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Newspoll (Australia)
08/23/18-08/26/18
0.00%
--
7.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 4 MORE CANDIDATES
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