Yeah - don't put too much stock in early turnout numbers. Early turnout for Democrats was very good in 2016 as well.
It isn't so much how many people have voted that I look at but the percent who have returned their mail ballots between Democrats and Republicans. In every state with party registration, Democrats are returning their ballots at a higher rate. If Republicans don't catch up, we'll see alot of tight races swing toward Democrats.
RP: Yeah - don't put too much stock in early turnout numbers. Early turnout for Democrats was very good in 2016 as well.
It isn't so much how many people have voted that I look at but the percent who have returned their mail ballots between Democrats and Republicans. In every state with party registration, Democrats are returning their ballots at a higher rate. If Republicans don't catch up, we'll see alot of tight races swing toward Democrats.
As someone living in Georgia (Atlanta suburbs), I can say turnout looks to go through the roof....long lines and waits have been reported throughout the metro and in Savannah (likely Columbus, Augusta, and Macon too. I just haven't heard anything from those location)...Increased turnout will only help Biden and down ballot DEMs...Gwinnett County reported 6x the first day early vote compared to four years ago
As someone living in Georgia (Atlanta suburbs), I can say turnout looks to go through the roof....long lines and waits have been reported throughout the metro and in Savannah (likely Columbus, Augusta, and Macon too. I just haven't heard anything from those location)...Increased turnout will only help Biden and down ballot DEMs...Gwinnett County reported 6x the first day early vote compared to four years ago
third party candidates consistently get overrated in polls, but it seems like malpractice to not poll the Libertarian in this race considering the impact he could make by being somewhat popular or not
third party candidates consistently get overrated in polls, but it seems like malpractice to not poll the Libertarian in this race considering the impact he could make by being somewhat popular or not
This is going to leave a mark. I've been skeptical of Ossoff, but with momentum and big turnout of an expanding electorate he's got a good shot at 50%.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50aDPFFV3yo
This is going to leave a mark. I've been skeptical of Ossoff, but with momentum and big turnout of an expanding electorate he's got a good shot at 50%.
There is a good chance that both GA Senate Races will go to a run-off.
Will be something if these races decide control of the Senate. The amount of money coming into the runoff will be crazy and so will the messaging.
Get ready for some fun.
BrentinCO: There is a good chance that both GA Senate Races will go to a run-off.
Will be something if these races decide control of the Senate. The amount of money coming into the runoff will be crazy and so will the messaging.
What's so interesting about the runoffs? Republicans are clearly favored to win both.
Yes, I'd say they are, but this could be an unusual year. With Biden's potential win and the control of the Senate and thus the country itself at stake it's possible the enthusiasm gap for special elections could be nullified or reversed. Especially if Trump's voters are demoralized. Hard slog, but possible.
Jason: What's so interesting about the runoffs? Republicans are clearly favored to win both.
Yes, I'd say they are, but this could be an unusual year. With Biden's potential win and the control of the Senate and thus the country itself at stake it's possible the enthusiasm gap for special elections could be nullified or reversed. Especially if Trump's voters are demoralized. Hard slog, but possible.
D:7
Joker:9757