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  OH District 12 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Ohio > OH - District 12
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline February 07, 2018 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 07, 2018 - 06:30am Central
Polls Close August 07, 2018 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start August 08, 2018 - 11:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 11:00pm
Turnout 33.00% Total Population
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia December 19, 2018 08:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description To fill the seat vacated by the resignation of Pat Tiberi
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NamePat Tiberi Votes251,266 (66.55%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/15/2018 Margin138,628 (+36.72%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameTroy Balderson Votes175,677 (51.42%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin14,426 (+4.22%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 08, 2018 OH District 12 - Special D Primary
Danny O'Connor
D 45,001
May 08, 2018 OH District 12 - Special R Primary
Troy Balderson
R 68,802
May 08, 2018 OH District 12 - R Primary
Troy Balderson
R 68,082
May 08, 2018 OH District 12 - D Primary
Danny O'Connor
D 44,940
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/27/2018 08/07/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Troy Balderson 5 2 --1
Tossup 1 ------
Danny O'Connor 7 ------
Leaning Call: Troy Balderson (61.90%)
Weighted Call: Troy Balderson (62.30%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/10/2018 08/04/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name St. Sen. Troy Balderson County Recorder Danny O'Connor Joe Manchik  
PartyRepublican Democratic Green  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 104,328 (50.12%) 102,648 (49.32%) 1,165 (0.56%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,680 (-0.81%) -103,163 (-49.56%)  
Predict Avg.49.00% 49.50% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 7/18 $208,031.84 7/18 $129,200.87 $--  
Website [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 12/07/2017 01/30/2018 02/07/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.02%-- 43.28%-- -0.21%--  
Emerson College 
08/02/18-08/04/18		 46.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
07/26/18-07/31/18		 46.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
07/27/18-07/29/18		 48.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
GBA Strategies (D) 
07/23/18-07/25/18		 48.00% -- 45.00% 2.0 2.00% 3.0
GBA Strategies (D) 
07/10/18-07/13/18		 48.00% -- 43.00% -- 5.00% --
JMC Analytics and Polling 
06/13/18-06/16/18		 46.00% -- 35.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Michigander
D Tannurr
R Southern Moderate
R Lawrence Cohen 🔗
  Columbus Dispatch
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/31/2018 Troy Balderson TVAd Endorsement eng Governor Kasich  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2018 Danny O'Connor TVAd Issue eng Leadership  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2018 vs Danny O'Connor TVAd Attack eng Retired  00:00:30 RP 
07/31/2018 vs Troy Balderson TVAd Attack eng When You  00:00:32 RP 
07/24/2018 vs Danny O'Connor TVAd Attack eng Reverse  00:00:30 RP 
07/12/2018 vs Danny O'Connor TVAd Attack eng Dangerous Danny  00:00:30 RP 
06/12/2018 Danny O'Connor TVAd Issue eng New Leadership  00:00:30 RP 
06/07/2018 Troy Balderson vs Danny O'Connor TVAd Issue eng Burden  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2018 Troy Balderson TVAd Issue eng Monica  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 07, 2018 12:00am Statement Republican in Ohio Special Election Closes Race by Insulting One-Third of Voters  Article RP 
Jul 31, 2018 09:50pm Event Trump jumps into Ohio special election as GOP alarm grows  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
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