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  US President - Electoral Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open December 14, 2020 - 11:00pm Central
Polls Close December 14, 2020 - 11:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 11:00am
Term End January 20, 2025 - 11:00am
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedDylanSH99 June 14, 2021 09:14pm
Data Sources[Link] ; AP projections
Description December 8th, 2020 is the deadline for application of the safe harbor provision. On December 14th 2020 the electors who have been elected will meet in their respective states to cast their votes. Electoral Votes must be received by the President of the Senate (Vice-President) and the Archivist by December 23rd 2020. On January 6th 2021 a Joint Session of Congress will count the electoral votes. A candidate must receive 270 or more electoral votes to win. If no one receives 270 votes the 12th amendment runoff process begins. At 12 PM (Eastern Standard Time) January 20th, 2021 the new presidential term begins.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won12/19/2016
NameDonald J. Trump Votes304 (56.51%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin77 (+14.31%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won12/16/2024
NameDonald J. Trump Votes312 (57.99%)
Term01/20/2025 - 01/20/2029 Margin86 (+15.99%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Nov 13, 2018 US President - PRB Convention
Bill Bayes
PRB 30
Sep 15, 2019 US President - ASP Convention
Brian T. Carroll
ASP 1
Oct 18, 2019 US President - SOC Convention
Howie Hawkins
S 1
Apr 25, 2020 US President - AllP Convention
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
AllP 26
May 02, 2020 US President - CST Convention
Don Blankenship
CST 309
May 23, 2020 US President - LBT Convention
Jo Jorgensen
LBT 1,026
Jun 20, 2020 US President - REF Convention
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
REF 22
Jul 11, 2020 US President - G Convention
Howie Hawkins
G 357
Aug 18, 2020 US President - D Convention
Joe Biden
D 4,714
Aug 24, 2020 US President - R Convention
Donald J. Trump
R 2,550
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/02/2018 12/14/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 1 2 ----
Joe Biden 3 3 10 5
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (92.19%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (98.42%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Vice President Joe Biden (I) President Donald J. Trump  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 306 (56.88%) 232 (43.12%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -74 (-13.75%)  
Predict Avg.60.09% 41.71%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date -- --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jan 06, 2021 11:00am Jan 06, 2021 11:00am Terrorist Attack Trump-inspired US Capitol Insurrection  Chronicler 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
03/27/2020 TVAd Feel Good eng HOPE  00:01:00 RP 
03/23/2020 vs TVAd Attack eng Exponential Threat  00:00:30 RP 
10/31/2017 TVAd Biography eng PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL FIX IT  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS
How and when are election results finalized? (2020)  Discuss
The Economist Forecast  Discuss

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 12, 2023 11:10am Investigation McCarthy calls for formal impeachment inquiry into Biden   Article RP 
Jul 17, 2023 05:00pm News Colorado appeals court upholds $27,500 owed on Biden-Trump election bet  Article BrentinCO 
Jan 25, 2022 04:00pm News American Oversight Obtains Seven Phony Certificates of Pro-Trump Electors  Article Chronicler 
Jan 08, 2021 05:00pm Event Right-wing extremists vow to return to Washington for Joe Biden's inauguration   Article RP 
Jan 08, 2021 10:00am News Trump tweets he is skipping Biden's inauguration  Article Chronicler 
Dec 05, 2020 01:00pm General Trump demands names of the congressional Republicans who said they recognize Biden as winner  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
162
Previous Messages]
 
D:9602Old Dominion Democrat ( 1532.0778 points)
Sun, December 15, 2019 06:44:26 PM UTC0:00
When have hats and yard signs ever been a sign of electoral success?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Sun, December 15, 2019 07:01:13 PM UTC0:00
Old Dominion Democrat: When have hats and yard signs ever been a sign of electoral success?
It shows people are excited to vote for them

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, March 18, 2020 05:29:06 AM UTC0:00

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1668.7509 points)
Tue, April 14, 2020 11:57:40 PM UTC0:00
Can someone delete the Trump duplicate for me please?

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4113.6006 points)
Tue, April 14, 2020 11:58:38 PM UTC0:00
Don't know which one to delete. I don't want to delete predictions.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1668.7509 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 12:00:10 AM UTC0:00
They're both showing the same predictions so I don't think it matters which one.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 12:14:44 AM UTC0:00
I've been through this before, deleting one will delete both cause they're the same person, so I just ripped the band-aid off

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1668.7509 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 12:16:28 AM UTC0:00
I appreciate it, thank you and sorry about that. User error.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1668.7509 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 12:27:42 AM UTC0:00
Maybe there's someway we can manually put Trump's percentage predictions from the 3 users or maybe they can themselves again since we already have their percentage prediction for Biden, subtract 100 from it and it can just be inputted if possible.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 01:39:53 AM UTC0:00
How did a second get added it the first place? It shouldn't allow that.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 01:50:07 AM UTC0:00
It happens when we ain't careful enough and accidentally do it

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 02:21:01 AM UTC0:00
I just tried adding Trump for a second time through the standard way on the Candidates edit page and it wouldn't let me. It had to be from some other way.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4113.6006 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 02:28:30 AM UTC0:00
If you add a third candidate and then replace that candidate with Trump, you get a duplicate.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 02:36:57 AM UTC0:00
That's what I was guessing. That's pretty convoluted to happen accidentally.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 02:45:45 AM UTC0:00
Okay, the code will prevent that now.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1668.7509 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 02:46:25 AM UTC0:00
Yes, it happened accidentally. My apologies. I did successfully add Trump and Biden as the general election candidates on all of the 50 states presidential election pages.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 05:23:22 PM UTC0:00
Is there any reason to think Trump will win? Obviously, he won despite expectations last time but there is very little chance that the economy or life in general will be normal by November, and that is pretty much all Trump had left.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 06:57:07 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Is there any reason to think Trump will win?

He's the incumbent, he's automatically the favorite. Has a cash advantage. From an electoral college stand point all the tossups could go his way and he could win with a 1-9 electoral vote margin.

And E Pluribus Unum is going to be irresponsible and not vote for Biden.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
Wed, April 15, 2020 08:24:32 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Is there any reason to think Trump will win?

Just never assume the Democrat will win.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Tue, May 5, 2020 10:10:42 PM UTC0:00
Nice Summary of current predictions, with good links.

?s=20

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, May 6, 2020 11:42:45 AM UTC0:00
Any we should add to the site list?

Or any inactive ones we should remove this year?

 
I:10200Jeaux ( 55.7098 points)
Wed, July 8, 2020 06:46:24 PM UTC0:00
Cook Political Report has issued a new forecast. I know its early, but they moved Georgia to a toss up and that is mind blowing to me
[Link]

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Thu, July 16, 2020 01:46:23 AM UTC0:00

 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 452.9941 points)
Thu, July 16, 2020 02:42:31 AM UTC0:00
Parscale was an incredibly bad manager. Stepein is well known here in New Jersey, as well as incredibly seasoned.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Thu, July 16, 2020 04:55:48 AM UTC0:00
One thing is for sure about Stepien, he won't be making mis-steps like holding a rally on Juneteenth after officers kill an unarmed black man.

And if he ever does anything like that, he will respond much better than Parscale did (which I think was pretty much no response other than to move out the rally one day).

Some people think Parscale was the political genius of 2016. Funny how fortunes can change.

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