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  CA District 39 - Open Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 39
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 09, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open June 05, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close June 05, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
Turnout 19.57% Registered 11.07% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH July 13, 2018 10:28pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameEd Royce Votes150,777 (57.23%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin38,098 (+14.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameGil Cisneros Votes126,002 (51.56%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2021 Margin7,611 (+3.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA District 39 11/06/2018
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/06/2017 06/05/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Young O. Kim 3 ------
Gil Cisneros --2 ----
Leaning Call: Gil Cisneros (57.14%)
Weighted Call: Gil Cisneros (57.19%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/12/2017 05/20/2018

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name St. Rep. Young O. Kim Gil Cisneros Philip L. "Phil" Liberatore Andy Thorburn Supervisor Shawn Nelson St. Sen. Robert "Bob" Huff Sam Jammal
PartyRepublican Democratic Republican Democratic Republican Republican Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 30,019 (21.22%) 27,469 (19.42%) 20,257 (14.32%) 12,990 (9.18%) 9,750 (6.89%) 8,699 (6.15%) 7,613 (5.38%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,550 (-1.80%) -9,762 (-6.90%) -17,029 (-12.04%) -20,269 (-14.33%) -21,320 (-15.07%) -22,406 (-15.84%)
Predict Avg.21.00% 18.00% 0.00% 18.00% 16.00% 16.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $466,761.38 5/16 $167,522.02 12/31 $495,466.06 5/16 $191,462.39 5/16 $159,232.02 5/16 $105,726.19 3/31 $233,385.31
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/09/2018 07/17/2017 03/00/2018 00/00/2018 01/09/2018 01/09/2018 07/17/2017
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg14.82%-- 15.82%-- 0.00%-- 8.81%-- 9.48%-- 14.16%-- 4.15%--
Tulchin Research 
05/16/18-05/20/18		 14.00% -- 20.00% 24.0 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
03/30/18-04/07/18		 13.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 10.00% -- 10.00% -- 4.00% --
Tulchin Research 
11/12/17-11/19/17		 0.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
N Cynthia Coad 🔗
R Robert "Bob" Pacheco 🔗
R Jordan Cunningham 🔗
R James Gallagher 🔗
R Tom Lackey 🔗
R Jim Patterson 🔗
R Jim Silva 🔗
R David Hadley 🔗
R Michelle Park Steel 🔗
N Sandra Hutchens 🔗
R Mimi Walters 🔗
R Rosario Marin 🔗
R Michael D. "Mike" Antonovich 🔗
R Ed Royce 🔗
D Arne Duncan 🔗
D Sharon Quirk-Silva 🔗
D Dolores Huerta 🔗
D Loretta B. Sanchez 🔗
D Salud Carbajal 🔗
D Lou Correa 🔗
D Seth Moulton 🔗
D Lucille E. Roybal-Allard 🔗
D Raúl Ruiz 🔗
D Linda Sánchez 🔗
D Norma J. Torres 🔗
D Chris Holden 🔗
D Blanca E. Rubio 🔗
D Eva Longoria 🔗
D Pete Aguilar 🔗
D Grace Napolitano 🔗
D Nanette Díaz Barragán 🔗
R Joseph M. "Joe" Arpaio 🔗
  Our Revolution
D Reggie Jones-Sawyer 🔗
D Marty Block 🔗
D Rick Tuttle 🔗
  Orange County Register
R Dana Rohrabacher 🔗
R John Moorlach 🔗
R Phillip Chen 🔗
R Andrew Do 🔗
R Kathryn Barger 🔗
R Curt Hagman 🔗
R Connie M. Conway 🔗
R Don Knabe 🔗
R Dennis Hollingsworth 🔗
D Dolores Huerta 🔗
D Sharon Quirk-Silva 🔗
D Maria Contreras-Sweet 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Mai-Khanh Tran Herbert H. Lee Steve Vargas Suzi Park Leggett John J. Cullum Karen Lee Schatzle Stephan "Steve" Cox
PartyDemocratic Democratic Republican Democratic Republican No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 7,430 (5.25%) 5,988 (4.23%) 4,144 (2.93%) 2,058 (1.46%) 1,747 (1.24%) 903 (0.64%) 856 (0.61%)
Margin-22,589 (-15.97%) -24,031 (-16.99%) -25,875 (-18.29%) -27,961 (-19.77%) -28,272 (-19.99%) -29,116 (-20.58%) -29,163 (-20.62%)
Predict Avg.10.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 12/31 $534,730.62 5/16 $129,277.89 5/16 $103,120.37 5/16 $0.95 5/16 $94,000.31 $-- 5/16 $224.82
Website
Entry Date 05/19/2017 01/08/2018 00/00/2018 01/09/2018 03/00/2018 03/00/2018 00/00/2017
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.03%-- 0.00%-- 6.62%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.48%-- 0.00%--
Tulchin Research 
05/16/18-05/20/18		 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
03/30/18-04/07/18		 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tulchin Research 
11/12/17-11/19/17		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Kansen Chu 🔗
D Ash Kalra 🔗
  314 Action
  EMILY's List
VIEW 3 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Phil Janowicz (D)
Apr 25, 2017 - Mar 14, 2018 		Jay F. Chen (D)
Jan 09, 2018 - Mar 13, 2018 		Christina Prejean (D)
Mar 02, 2018 		Ed Royce (R)
Jan 08, 2018 		Ling Ling Chang (R)
 00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/23/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Issue eng Democratic Society  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 vs Shawn Nelson TVAd Attack eng Can't Afford Nelson  00:00:30 RP 
05/07/2018 vs Robert "Bob" Huff TVAd Attack eng Huff Puff  00:00:30 RP 
04/18/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Issue eng Guaranteed  00:00:30 RP 
04/04/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Feel Good eng My Dad  00:00:30 RP 
03/28/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Attack eng Trump's America  00:00:30 RP 
02/28/2018 Andy Thorburn TVAd Biography eng Jailed  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 03, 2018 01:40pm News This is the weirdest race in the country  Article BrentinCO 
Mar 13, 2018 06:00pm News Fight Back California Polls Show Likelihood of Democratic Shutout in Districts 39 and 49  Article Scott³ 

DISCUSSION
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