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  MN District 03
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Minnesota > MN - District 03
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline May 05, 2018 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 59.18% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRP December 12, 2018 03:43pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameErik Paulsen Votes223,077 (56.70%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin53,834 (+13.68%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameDean Phillips Votes246,666 (55.61%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin50,041 (+11.28%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 14, 2018 MN District 03 - D Primary
Dean Phillips
D 69,461
Aug 14, 2018 MN District 03 - R Primary
Erik Paulsen
R 39,077
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/08/2017 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tossup 1 ------
Dean Phillips 9 6 ----
Leaning Call: Dean Phillips (95.45%)
Weighted Call: Dean Phillips (99.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/09/2017 09/29/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Dean Phillips (I) Rep. Erik Paulsen (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Republican Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 202,404 (55.61%) 160,839 (44.19%) 706 (0.19%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -41,565 (-11.42%) -201,698 (-55.42%)  
Predict Avg.52.50% 47.50% 0.00%  
DylanSH9951.00% (+2.10 pts) 49.00% (+1.11 pts) --
Natalie54.00% (+4.10 pts) 46.00% (+3.11 pts) --
Cash On Hand 3/31 $695,234.69 10/17 $1,076,116.25 $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 05/16/2017 00/00/2017 05/05/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.79%-- 41.73%-- 0.00%--  
Survey USA 
09/24/18-09/29/18		 49.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
09/16/18-09/18/18		 52.00% 6.0 39.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/07/18-09/09/18		 51.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/12/18-02/13/18		 46.00% -- 43.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/09/17-11/10/17		 46.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
ND Juan Croniqueur
R Minnesota Populist
  Americans for Prosperity (Koch Brothers)
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/26/2018 vs Erik Paulsen TVAd Issue eng Paddling  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/18/2018 vs Erik Paulsen Web Only Ad Humor eng Bigfoot Looks for Erik Paulsen  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/15/2018 vs Dean Phillips TVAd Biography eng Latte  00:00:30 RP 
09/12/2018 vs Dean Phillips TVAd Attack eng Really Cares  00:00:30 RP 
09/11/2018 Dean Phillips vs Erik Paulsen TVAd Issue eng One of the Biggest  00:00:30 RP 
09/10/2018 Dean Phillips vs Erik Paulsen TVAd Defend eng The Truth  00:00:32 RP 
08/22/2018 Dean Phillips TVAd Biography eng Coffee and Conversation  00:00:30 RP 
08/21/2018 vs Dean Phillips TVAd Attack eng Ashamed  00:00:31 RP 

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