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  US President - D Primaries
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 03, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close August 11, 2020 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum July 24, 2022 09:23pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Candidates who withdrew before the Iowa Caucuses while qualifying for at least one primary ballot:

Joe Sestak (December 1st, on the ballot in NH/AR/MI/CA/FL)
Steve Bullock (December 2nd, on the ballot in NH/AR)
Kamala Harris (December 3rd, on the ballot in NH/AR/TN)
Julian Castro (January 2nd, on the ballot in 19 states)
Marianne Williamson (January 10th, on the ballot in 22 states)
Cory Booker (January 13th, on the ballot in 26 states)
John Delaney (January 31st, on the ballot in 27 states)

Candidates who dropped out after Iowa:
Andrew Yang (February 11th)
Michael Bennet (February 11th)
Deval Patrick (February 12th)
Tom Steyer (February 29th)
Pete Buttigieg (March 1st)
Amy Klobuchar (March 2nd)
Mike Bloomberg (March 4th)
Elizabeth Warren (March 5th)
Tulsi Gabbard (March 19th)
Bernie Sanders (April 8th)
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2016
NameHillary Clinton Votes65,853,514 (48.19%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin2,868,686 (+2.10%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceUS President - Popular Vote 11/03/2020
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/18/2016 08/11/2020
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bernie Sanders --1 2 1
Joe Biden 7 4 1 1
Tulsi Gabbard 2 ------
Elizabeth Warren 1 2 ----
Leaning Call: Joe Biden (53.66%)
Weighted Call: Joe Biden (101.36%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/05/2016 03/13/2020

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Vice President Joe Biden Sen. Bernie Sanders Sen. Elizabeth Warren Mayor Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg Mayor Pete Buttigieg Sen. Amy Klobuchar Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 18,419,788 (51.46%) 9,531,092 (26.63%) 2,780,873 (7.77%) 2,479,805 (6.93%) 912,214 (2.55%) 524,400 (1.47%) 270,620 (0.76%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -8,888,696 (-24.83%) -15,638,915 (-43.69%) -15,939,983 (-44.54%) -17,507,574 (-48.92%) -17,895,388 (-50.00%) -18,149,168 (-50.71%)
Predict Avg.13.33% 12.67% 7.78% 0.00% 5.40% 0.00% 2.17%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp30.00% (-9.45 pts) 17.00% (-3.42 pts) 6.00% (+0.40 pts) -- 10.00% (-3.78 pts) -- --
Natalie16.00% (-18.78 pts) 25.00% (+1.91 pts) 6.00% (+0.40 pts) -- 21.00% (-11.11 pts) -- --
Charlotte Rose30.00% (-9.45 pts) 30.00% (+0.75 pts) 35.00% (-16.57 pts) -- 0.60% (-0.11 pts) -- --
Southern Moderate11.00% (-22.12 pts) 27.00% (+2.75 pts) 3.00% (-1.60 pts) -- 2.00% (+0.83 pts) -- --
Shady Morsi -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Kyle33.00% (-7.45 pts) 15.00% (-4.76 pts) 20.00% (-6.57 pts) -- 15.00% (-7.11 pts) -- --
PA Historian -- -- -- -- -- -- 10.00% (-5.11 pts)
ev0lv -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.00% (-0.44 pts)
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $0.00 $-- $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/25/2019 02/19/2019
Dropped Out
04/08/2020 		12/31/2018
Dropped Out
03/05/2020 		11/24/2019
Dropped Out
03/04/2020 		04/14/2019
Dropped Out
03/01/2020 		02/10/2019
Dropped Out
03/02/2020 		01/11/2019
Dropped Out
03/19/2020
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg32.74%-- 30.20%-- 12.16%-- 13.70%-- 10.07%-- 4.83%-- 0.54%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20		 61.00% 35.0 32.00% 19.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 7.0 0.00% 1.0 4.00% 4.0
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20		 50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20		 59.00% 4.0 41.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20		 54.00% 37.0 35.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 15.0 0.00% 10.0 0.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20		 56.00% 20.0 38.00% 10.0 0.00% 14.0 0.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20		 52.00% 26.0 36.00% 16.0 7.00% 9.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% 8.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D NCdem
D Elizabeth Warren 🔗
D Lilly Ledbetter 🔗
  American Federation of Teachers
  Bold PAC
I Robert "Robby" Wells 🔗
R Tulsi Gabbard 🔗
  National Education Association
For Andrew Yang 🔗
  International Association of Machinists
D Kamala Harris 🔗
D Maggie Hassan 🔗
D Pete Buttigieg 🔗
D Amy Klobuchar 🔗
D Michael R. "Mike" Bloomberg 🔗
I JonathanNC
D Harry M. Reid 🔗
R Kyle
  Latino Victory Fund
  International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
D Cher 🔗
D Caroline Kennedy 🔗
  Amalgamated Transit Union
  International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental & Reinforcing Iron Workers
D John F. Kerry 🔗
R Minnesota Populist
  International Association of Firefighters
D Old Dominion Democrat
D DylanSH99
D KeystoneProgressive
GPC Didp1234
I Michael "Killer Mike" Render 🔗
D La Fayette
LBR Old LW
CU Shady Hosam Morsi
  Democracy for America
D Marianne Williamson 🔗
D Ashley
VMan Politicoomer
IRA Juan Croniqueur
D Tannurr
I Noam Chomsky 🔗
PT Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 🔗
D Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 🔗
D Jason
G BR_Green
DS Bob Sacamano
SGP Ross Greer 🔗
D ev0lv
D politicaltracker4096
  Democratic Socialists of America
MAS Evo Morales 🔗
WPGB George Galloway 🔗
I E Pluribus Unum
I Charlotte Rose
D Martin Sheen 🔗
D Rosie O'Donnell 🔗
  EMILY's List
  National Organization for Women (NOW)
  New York Times
D Julián Castro 🔗
WFP Working Families Party
D Caprice
  Progressive Change Campaign Committee
R Clint Eastwood 🔗
? Michael J. Fox 🔗
I Nicole Shanahan 🔗
I Fred Karger 🔗
  VoteVets.org
D TheGriffinTripp
D George Takei 🔗
For Joseph A. Sestak 🔗
  New York Times
R Minnesota Populist
D Crimson
DFL Walter F. Mondale 🔗
I BigBlake
LBT Gary Johnson 🔗
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
LBT PA Historian
R Ron Paul 🔗
R David Duke 🔗
For Luzerne County Historian
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Uncommitted Sen. Michael Bennet HUD Secretary Julián Castro Sen. Cory Booker No Preference
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 258,848 (0.72%) 160,733 (0.45%) 129,884 (0.36%) 62,260 (0.17%) 37,037 (0.10%) 31,575 (0.09%) 31,399 (0.09%)
Margin-18,160,940 (-50.74%) -18,259,055 (-51.02%) -18,289,904 (-51.10%) -18,357,528 (-51.29%) -18,382,751 (-51.36%) -18,388,213 (-51.38%) -18,388,389 (-51.38%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DylanSH99 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
TheGriffinTripp -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Natalie -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Charlotte Rose -- 0.20% (+0.87 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Southern Moderate -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Shady Morsi -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Kyle -- -- -- -- -- -- --
PA Historian -- -- -- -- -- -- --
ev0lv -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $-- $0.00 $-- $-- $0.00 $0.00 $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 07/09/2019
Dropped Out
02/29/2020 		11/06/2017
Dropped Out
02/00/2020 		01/01/2020 05/02/2019
Dropped Out
02/11/2020 		01/12/2019
Dropped Out
01/02/2020 		02/01/2019
Dropped Out
01/13/2020 		01/01/2020
MATCHUP POLLS (220 from 37 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.27%-- 3.44%-- 0.00%-- 0.49%-- 0.13%-- 2.11%-- 0.00%--
Hart Research and Public Opinion Strategies 
03/11/20-03/13/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Chism Strategies (D) 
03/09/20-03/09/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Reuters/Ipsos 
03/06/20-03/09/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/05/20-03/08/20		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
03/05/20-03/08/20		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SSRS 
03/04/20-03/07/20		 0.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I Charlotte R. R. Jobe
I Elon Musk 🔗
I Lab Shady Morsi
D Gary Hart 🔗
VIEW 32 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Wayne M. Messam (D)
Mar 13, 2019 - Nov 20, 2019 		Brian P. Moore (D)
Nov 07, 2019 - Nov 13, 2019 		Michael E. Arth (D)
Nov 09, 2018 - Nov 04, 2019 		Beto O'Rourke (D)
Mar 14, 2019 - Nov 01, 2019 		Tim Ryan (D)
Apr 04, 2019 - Oct 24, 2019 		Bill de Blasio (D)
May 16, 2019 - Sep 20, 2019 		Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Jan 15, 2019 - Aug 28, 2019 		Seth Moulton (D)
Apr 22, 2019 - Aug 23, 2019
Jay Inslee (D)
Jan 02, 2019 - Aug 21, 2019 		John Hickenlooper (D)
Mar 04, 2019 - Aug 15, 2019 		Stacey Abrams (D)
Aug 13, 2019 		Mike Gravel (D)
Mar 19, 2019 - Aug 01, 2019 		Ami Horowitz (D)
May 02, 2019 - Jul 31, 2019 		Eric M. Swalwell (D)
Apr 08, 2019 - Jul 08, 2019 		Joe Sanberg (D)
Jun 01, 2019 		Terry McAuliffe (D)
Apr 17, 2019
Ryan Farber (D)
Feb 28, 2018 - Apr 04, 2019 		Sherrod Brown (D)
Mar 07, 2019 		Jeff Merkley (D)
Mar 05, 2019 		Eric Holder (D)
Mar 04, 2019 		Mitchell J. "Mitch" Landrieu (D)
Feb 06, 2019 		Adam Schiff (D)
Feb 04, 2019 		Eric Garcetti (D)
Jan 29, 2019 		Richard Ojeda II (D)
Nov 11, 2018 - Jan 25, 2019
Chris Murphy (D)
Jan 23, 2019 		Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Jan 18, 2019 		Martin J. O'Malley (D)
Jan 03, 2019 		Mark Zuckerberg (D)
 00, 2019 		John F. Kerry (D)
Dec 07, 2018 		Michael Avenatti (D)
Dec 04, 2018 		Patrick Little (D)
Aug 08, 2018 - Nov 13, 2018 		Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (D)
Jan 09, 2017 - Oct 01, 2018
Jason Kander (D)
Jun 25, 2018 		Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson (D)
Apr 00, 2018 		Roy Cooper (D)
Mar 29, 2018 		Luis V. Gutierrez (D)
Mar 00, 2018 		Oprah Winfrey (D)
Feb 22, 2018 		Andrew Cuomo (D)
 00, 2018 		William McRaven (D)
 00, 2018 		Howard Schultz (D)
 00, 2018
Nina Turner (D)
 00, 2018 		Al Franken (D)
Dec 00, 2017 		Joseph P. Kennedy, III (D)
Jul 18, 2017 		Hillary Clinton (D)
Apr 00, 2017 		Tim Kaine (D)
Nov 17, 2016 		Gavin Newsom (D)
 00, 2016

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 26, 2019 06:00pm Jun 27, 2019 09:00pm Debate First 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jul 30, 2019 07:00pm Jul 31, 2019 10:00pm Debate Second 2020 Democratic Presidental Primary Debate  RP 
Sep 04, 2019 06:00pm Sep 04, 2019 09:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary Climate Town Hall  RP 
Sep 12, 2019 08:00pm Sep 12, 2019 10:00pm General Election Third 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Oct 10, 2019 08:00pm Oct 10, 2019 10:00pm Town Hall Democratic Primary LGBTQ Town Hall  RP 
Oct 15, 2019 07:00pm Oct 15, 2019 10:00pm Debate Fourth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Nov 20, 2019 07:00pm Nov 20, 2019 09:00pm Debate Fifth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Dec 07, 2019 07:00pm Dec 07, 2019 10:00pm Interview Teamsters Presidential Forum  RP 
Dec 19, 2019 07:00pm Dec 19, 2019 09:00pm Debate Sixth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Jan 14, 2020 07:00pm Jan 14, 2020 10:00pm Debate Seventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 07, 2020 07:00pm Feb 07, 2020 10:00pm Debate Eighth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate   RP 
Feb 19, 2020 07:00pm Feb 19, 2020 10:00pm Debate Ninth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Feb 25, 2020 07:00pm Feb 25, 2020 10:00pm Debate Tenth 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 
Mar 15, 2020 07:00pm Mar 15, 2020 09:00pm Debate Eleventh 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
02/24/2020 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Issue eng Stop Big Pharma Greed  00:02:10 data 
01/14/2020 Deval L. Patrick Interview Biography eng Coffee with Candidates: Deval Patrick  00:05:05 data 
12/27/2019 Tulsi Gabbard TVAd Feel Good eng I will always respect & listen to you  00:02:17 data 
12/21/2019 Deval L. Patrick TVAd Biography eng 'Later, but not late:’ Deval Patrick on his presidential bid  00:05:13 data 
12/19/2019 Cory Booker TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:00:30 RP 
12/15/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Feel Good eng For Review: Exeter, NH couple reacts to Marianne's speech: "She would be an outstanding candidate."  00:01:47 data 
12/04/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng A Mother in the White House | Democratic Candidate Marianne Williamson  00:02:14 data 
12/04/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Contrast eng Laughed At  00:01:03 EastTexasDem 
11/15/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Issue eng Paycheck  00:00:30 data 
11/13/2019 Elizabeth Warren TVAd Issue eng Elizabeth Warren Stands Up to Billionaires  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Biography eng Most  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2019 Michael Bennet TVAd Issue eng Truth  00:00:30 RP 
09/05/2019 Pete Buttigieg TVAd Mixed eng The Only Way  00:00:30 RP 
08/22/2019 Joe Biden TVAd Feel Good eng President Obama's First Decision  00:01:00 RP 
08/08/2019 Kamala Harris TVAd Mixed eng Me, Maya, and Mom  00:01:00 RP 
08/07/2019 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Rock 2.0  00:03:30 RP 
06/17/2019 Andrew Yang TVAd Biography eng Andrew Yang for President | Humanity First  00:02:30 Candidate Information Needed 
04/14/2019 Pete Buttigieg Candidacy Announcement Biography eng Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend announces presidential bid  01:55:39 RP 
01/21/2019 Marianne Williamson TVAd Issue eng Marianne For America - National Security  00:02:35 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 09, 2020 03:00pm Announcement Biden adopts parts of Sanders' policies: lowering Medicare age and forgiving some college debt  Article RP 
Apr 05, 2020 10:00pm Election Guide Sanders’ ’narrow path’ to victory gets even narrower  Article WA Indy 
Mar 25, 2020 12:00pm News Could a ‘Draft Cuomo’ Movement Be in the Democrats’ Future?  Article BrentinCO 
Mar 19, 2020 09:55am News Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out and Endorses Biden  Article RP 
Mar 14, 2020 09:30pm News A 'Never Biden' movement vows not to vote for Joe  Article WA Indy 
Mar 10, 2020 07:00pm Opinion Press: Bernie Sanders has already won  Article WA Indy 

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