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  WI US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2018 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open August 14, 2018 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 14, 2018 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedRBH September 04, 2018 05:08pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameTammy Baldwin Votes1,547,104 (51.41%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin166,978 (+5.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameTammy Baldwin Votes1,472,914 (55.36%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin288,029 (+10.83%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI US Senate 11/06/2018
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/30/2012 08/14/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Leah Vukmir 3 1 ----
Kevin Nicholson 3 ------
Leaning Call: Leah Vukmir (62.50%)
Weighted Call: Kevin Nicholson (81.49%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/06/2017 07/28/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Assistant Majority Leader Leah Vukmir Kevin Nicholson George C. Lucia Griffin Jones Charles E. Barman (W) Write-In  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 217,230 (48.90%) 191,276 (43.06%) 18,786 (4.23%) 8,699 (1.96%) 7,959 (1.79%) 303 (0.07%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -25,954 (-5.84%) -198,444 (-44.67%) -208,531 (-46.94%) -209,271 (-47.11%) -216,927 (-48.83%)  
Predict Avg.51.50% 47.50% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 09/07/2017 07/26/2017 08/11/2017 01/08/2018 02/26/2018 06/01/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg33.08%-- 34.39%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Emerson College 
07/26/18-07/28/18		 35.00% -- 35.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
NBC News/Marist 
07/15/18-07/19/18		 35.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
07/11/18-07/17/18		 34.00% 2.0 32.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
06/13/18-06/17/18		 32.00% 13.0 37.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Hodas & Associates (R) 
06/07/18-06/12/18		 14.20% -- 28.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
05/31/18-06/04/18		 36.00% -- 29.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Jay Weber 🔗
  National Rifle Association (NRA)
R Sean Duffy 🔗
R F. James "Jim" Sensenbrenner, Jr. 🔗
R Paul Ryan 🔗
R Kyle
R Scott Fitzgerald 🔗
R Steve Bannon 🔗
  Club for Growth
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Eric D. Hovde (R)
Apr 07, 2018 		Scott Fitzgerald (R)
Sep 11, 2017 		Dale Kooyenga (R)
Aug 30, 2017 		Rebecca Kleefisch (R)
Jun 19, 2017 		Sean Duffy (R)
Feb 16, 2017 		David A. Clarke, Jr. (R)
 00, 2017 		John T. Schiess (R)
 00, 0001

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/06/2018 vs Leah Vukmir TVAd Attack eng SFW Candid Camera  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2018 Kevin Nicholson TVAd Biography eng A NEW KIND OF LEADER  00:00:30 RP 
07/10/2018 Leah Vukmir vs Kevin Nicholson TVAd Attack eng Kevin Nicholson: We can't trust him  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
06/18/2018 Leah Vukmir TVAd Biography eng Threatened  00:00:30 RP 
04/05/2018 Leah Vukmir TVAd Biography eng Leader  00:00:30 RP 
10/25/2017 Kevin Nicholson TVAd Biography eng WI-NICHOLSON-EXACTLY  00:00:30 RP 
10/13/2017 Kevin Nicholson TVAd Biography eng Duty  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION