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French National Assembly - Bouches du Rhône - 5th Circonscription
RACE DETAILS
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Provence-Alpes-Côte-d'Azur
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Bouches-du-Rhône
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Bouches-du-Rhône - 5th Circonscription
Office
National Assembly
Honorific
National Assembly - Abbr: Deputy
Type
General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2012 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open
June 10, 2012 - 04:55am Central
Polls Close
June 10, 2012 - 04:55am Central
Term Start
June 18, 2012 - 12:05am
Term End
May 18, 2017 - 12:00pm
# Winners
2
Contributor
La Fayette
Last Modified
Ralphie
June 13, 2012 06:20pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Union for a Popular Movement
Won
06/17/2007
Name
Renaud Muselier
Votes
15,098 (53.32%)
Term
06/18/2007 - 06/18/2012
Margin
1,878 (+6.63%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Socialist
Won
06/17/2012
Name
Marie-Arlette Carlotti
Votes
20,212 (51.81%)
Term
06/18/2012 - 05/18/2017
Margin
1,413 (+3.62%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
French National Assembly - Bouches-du-Rhone - 5th Circonscription 06/17/2012
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
06/08/2012
06/10/2012
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Renaud Muselier
1
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Renaud Muselier (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Renaud Muselier (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
05/29/2012
05/30/2012
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
IFOP
CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name
Marie-Arlette Carlotti
(I)
Deputy
Renaud Muselier
Jean-Pierre Baumann
Deputy
Frédéric Dutoit
Michèle Rubirola
Hélène Coulomb
Chantal Sebag
Party
Socialist
Union for a Popular Movement
National Front
French Communist
Greens
Centre for France
Diverse Left
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
13,785 (34.44%)
12,991 (32.45%)
6,512 (16.27%)
3,040 (7.59%)
1,368 (3.42%)
657 (1.64%)
394 (0.98%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-794 (-1.98%)
-7,273 (-18.17%)
-10,745 (-26.84%)
-12,417 (-31.02%)
-13,128 (-32.79%)
-13,391 (-33.45%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
00/12/2011
00/01/2012
00/05/2012
00/11/2011
00/12/2011
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
35.10%
--
34.27%
--
14.42%
--
8.19%
--
3.09%
--
-0.46%
--
2.98%
--
IFOP
05/29/12-05/30/12
34.00%
--
36.00%
--
13.50%
--
8.50%
--
3.50%
--
2.50%
--
1.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
GE
Frédéric Boeuf-Salor
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Mylène Gugliotta
François Franceschi
Hubert Fayard
Ahmed Azouaou
Michelle Alphonse
Richard Bonacase
Junie Ciccione
Party
The Clover
Citizenship Action Participation for the 21st Century
Diverse Right
Alliance of the Independent Ecologists
Debout la République
Party of France
New Anticapitalist
Campaign Logo
Uncertified
Votes
222 (0.56%)
204 (0.51%)
188 (0.47%)
144 (0.36%)
139 (0.35%)
133 (0.33%)
131 (0.33%)
Margin
-13,563 (-33.88%)
-13,581 (-33.93%)
-13,597 (-33.97%)
-13,641 (-34.08%)
-13,646 (-34.09%)
-13,652 (-34.10%)
-13,654 (-34.11%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
00/05/2012
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.55%
--
0.51%
--
4.62%
--
0.60%
--
0.33%
--
0.11%
--
0.34%
--
IFOP
05/29/12-05/30/12
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.50%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 3 MORE CANDIDATES
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