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  UK Parliament - Ayrshire North & Arran
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > Scotland > Scotland > Ayrshire North & Arran
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedTakahe May 07, 2010 01:32am
Data Sources
Description
BBC Profile:
Boundary changes in 1983 detached Bute from the old Ayrshire North and Bute division, adding a swathe of the Garnock valley to form Cunninghame North. Ayrshire North and Bute had been regularly won by the Conservatives and, although the sitting MP John Corrie retained the new seat in 1983, in 1987 he was unseated by Labour's Brian Wilson. Wilson slightly increased his majority in 1992, and then quadrupled it in 1997.
After boundary changes in 2005, the new North Ayrshire and Arran seat contained the whole of Cunninghame North and five wards from Cunninghame South. At the 2005 general election the Conservatives benefited from a notional 2.7% swing against the incumbent party, but Brian Wilson's successor Katy Clark was nevertheless returned with a majority of 11,296 votes.

There are no boundary changes affecting this seat.

North Ayrshire and Arran stretches along a long strip of west coast mainland and includes, just across the Firth of Clyde, the Isle of Arran. Largs, Fairlie and West Kilbride are wealthy commuting areas to the north that contrast with the southern industrial belt which runs from Ardrossan to Kilwinning.

The Garnock valley pits are all closed now and the seat contains the ex-mining and steel industry towns of Dalry, Beith and Kilbirnie. Textiles are also in decline and the main local industries now are agriculture and tourism, with the latter centred on the Isle of Arran and the seaside resort of Largs.

A 50m regeneration scheme at

[More...]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won05/05/2005
NameKaty Clark Votes19,417 (43.92%)
Term05/17/2005 - 05/17/2010 Margin11,296 (+25.55%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyScottish National Won05/07/2015
NamePatricia Gibson Votes28,641 (53.17%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin13,573 (+25.20%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/10/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Katy Clark 2 1 ----
Leaning Call: Katy Clark (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Katy Clark (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) MP Katy Clark City Councillor Patricia Gibson Philip Lardner Gillian Cole-Hamilton Louise McDaid  
PartyLabour Scottish National Conservative Liberal Democrats Socialist Labour  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 21,860 (47.40%) 11,965 (25.95%) 7,212 (15.64%) 4,630 (10.04%) 449 (0.97%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -9,895 (-21.46%) -14,648 (-31.76%) -17,230 (-37.36%) -21,411 (-46.43%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010 00/00/2010  
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MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
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Apr 27, 2010 09:00pm News Tory candidate Philip Lardner suspended over gay comments  Article Ralphie 

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