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  AZ US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2012 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open August 28, 2012 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 28, 2012 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 01:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 01:00pm
ContributorThomas Walker
Last ModifiedRBH September 11, 2012 12:15am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2006
NameJon Kyl Votes814,398 (53.34%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin150,257 (+9.84%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameJeff Flake Votes1,104,457 (49.23%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin67,915 (+3.03%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ US Senate 11/06/2012
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/10/2011 08/28/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jeff Flake 6 4 --14
Leaning Call: Jeff Flake (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Jeff Flake (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/10/2011 07/17/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Jeff Flake Wilford R "Wil" Cardon Clair Van Steenwyk Mayor Bryan Hackbarth (W) John Jeffrey Lyon (W) Luis Acle  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 357,360 (69.25%) 110,150 (21.35%) 29,159 (5.65%) 19,174 (3.72%) 126 (0.02%) 56 (0.01%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -247,210 (-47.91%) -328,201 (-63.60%) -338,186 (-65.54%) -357,234 (-69.23%) -357,304 (-69.24%)  
Predict Avg.61.67% 22.00% 0.00% 3.33% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 12/31 $627,851.62 8/8 $317,649.00 $-- 10/15 $46.00 $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 -- 00/00/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.90%-- 22.90%-- 2.00%-- 3.00%-- 1.00%-- 0.00%--  
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/16/12-07/17/12		 45.00% -- 23.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/17/12-05/20/12		 42.00% 14.0 20.00% 13.0 2.00% 1.0 3.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
02/17/12-02/19/12		 56.00% 3.0 7.00% -- 1.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
11/17/11-11/20/11		 53.00% 20.0 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
11/14/11-11/15/11		 52.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
04/28/11-05/01/11		 33.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Sarah Palin 🔗
LBT Smart
R John McCain 🔗
R Jon Kyl 🔗
R Jim DeMint 🔗
AENM Angry Russian
R Pat Toomey 🔗
R Mike Lee 🔗
R Bobby Jindal 🔗
R Maryland Republican
  FreedomWorks PAC
R Paul Ryan 🔗
  Club for Growth
? 00
R Scott Smith 🔗
R Don Shooter 🔗
R Steve Manor Smith 🔗
R Steve Montenegro 🔗
R John M. Fillmore 🔗
R Trent Franks 🔗
  The Americans for Legal Immigration PAC
Veg Thomas Walker
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
07/31/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Mixed eng Jeff Flake, Arizona Conservative   00:00:31 Jason 
07/25/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Attack eng Jeff Flake Attacks Honest Businessman Wil Cardon, Just Like Obama   00:00:31 Crimson 
07/24/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Endorsement eng Jon Kyl Endorses Jeff Flake for U.S. Senate   00:00:30 Crimson 
06/23/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Mixed eng Wil Cardon Has the Skills to Fix Our Economy   00:00:31 Crimson 
06/22/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Mixed eng Trent Franks Sets the Record Straight   00:00:30 Crimson 
06/13/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Mixed eng Arizona’s Battle-Tested Conservative  00:00:31 Crimson 
06/12/2012 Jeff Flake Radio Ad Mixed eng Arizona's battle-tested conservative is Jeff Flake   00:01:01 RP 
05/07/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Contrast eng New Direction  00:00:30 Crimson 
04/09/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Issue eng Rule of Law  00:00:31 Crimson 
03/22/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Issue eng Jobs  00:00:30 Crimson 
03/21/2012 Jeff Flake TVAd Issue eng Worst. Birthday. Ever.  00:00:51 Craverguy 
03/13/2012 Wilford R "Wil" Cardon TVAd Biography eng Outsider  00:00:31 Crimson 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 12, 2012 07:30pm Endorsement Jeff Flake, Arizona Senate Candidate, Calls For Ending Direct Election Of Senators   Article RP 
Jul 12, 2012 07:00pm Commentary Support Lags for Jeff Flake in Primary  Article RP 
Jun 26, 2012 04:40pm General Did Arizona Senate Candidate Jeff Flake Lobby For Apartheid In South Africa?  Article RP 
Aug 05, 2011 05:05pm Announcement Self funder to primary Jeff Flake  Article TX DEM 
Jun 07, 2011 11:15am News Palin says she's not planning Senate run in Arizona  Article IndyGeorgia 
Apr 01, 2011 03:45pm Announcement Trent Franks Won't Run for Senate  Article RP 

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