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  KY US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Kentucky > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2026 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 21, 2026 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close May 21, 2026 - 05:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2033 - 12:00pm
ContributorBigZuck08
Last ModifiedBigZuck08 February 28, 2025 12:51pm
Data Sources
Description Dates speculative
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameMitch McConnell Votes1,233,315 (57.76%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin417,058 (+19.53%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceKY US Senate 11/03/2026
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/12/2025 04/17/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Daniel Cameron 2 1 1 --
Leaning Call: Daniel Cameron (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Daniel Cameron (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

12/02/2024 02/26/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Attorney General Daniel Cameron Rep. Andy Barr Nate Morris Scott Jennings Commissioner of Agriculture Ryan Quarles St. Sen. Robert Stivers Committee Chair Brett Guthrie
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $--
Donate 		$--
Donate 		$-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/20/2025 Speculative 02/13/2025 Speculative Speculative Speculative Speculative
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg39.00%-- 18.00%-- 3.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
co/efficient 
02/26/25-02/26/25		 39.00% -- 18.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
12/02/24-12/03/24		 32.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
12/02/24-12/03/24		 37.00% -- 12.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LBT The Fixer
  🚫Club for Growth
R Erick Erickson 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Attorney General Russell M. Coleman Secretary of State Michael G. Adams Auditor Allison Ball Council President Kelly Knight Craft  
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date Speculative Speculative Speculative Speculative  
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
co/efficient 
02/26/25-02/26/25		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
co/efficient 
12/02/24-12/03/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
co/efficient 
12/02/24-12/03/24		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
WFP BigZuck08
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Mitch McConnell (R)
Feb 20, 2025 		Damon Thayer (R)
Feb 20, 2025 		James R. Comer (R)
Dec 02, 2024 		Thomas Massie (R)
Oct 18, 2024

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