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  US Senate Control
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Senate
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline 00, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00am
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorBrentinCO
Last ModifiedBrentinCO February 10, 2025 09:02am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/08/2024 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Republican Party Control 11 ------
Democratic Party Control 1 ------
Leaning Call: Republican Party Control (91.67%)
Weighted Call: Republican Party Control (100.09%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Republican Party Control Democratic Party Control  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 53 (53.00%) 47 (47.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -6 (-6.00%)  
Predict Avg.51.00% 49.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- --  
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MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 21, 2024 02:00pm News Democrats in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan Run Ads Touting Their Work with President Trump  Article BrentinCO 
Sep 23, 2024 01:00pm Perspective Scoop: Senate GOP privately predicts 52-seat majority  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
16
Previous Messages]
 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
x2
Mon, October 14, 2024 04:54:03 PM UTC0:00
Jason: Batch of supposedly leaked Republican internal polls: [Link]


The Notes section of each race makes me think these may be legitimate internal polls.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 756.1104 points)
Tue, October 15, 2024 11:17:43 PM UTC0:00
These are either legit, or someone was paid to fabricate a forgery. Occam's Razor suggests the former, I think.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Mon, November 11, 2024 01:09:52 AM UTC0:00
There will be 13 new faces in the U.S Senate.

 
R:11448Maryland Republican93 ( 2177.9980 points)
x2
Mon, November 11, 2024 05:43:38 PM UTC0:00
One thing I’m personally fascinated by is “what if”. Republicans getting to 53 is a good night, there majority does not need to theoretically be dictated by Collins and Murkowski. But Republicans came very close to a senate majority not seen since Obama 08. Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona get you to 57. I’m going to be generous and throw Maryland into that and say number 58 - a well known Maryland political expert made the case outlining that had Democrats not spent tens of millions of dollars attacking Hogan, Hogan very well could have prevailed. Personally, a 57-58 seat Republican Majority would be very difficult to dislodge anytime soon. Hell, a 53 seat Republican majority is going to be difficult to dislodge. Looking at 2026, both sides have a few pickup potentials. I think after Tuesday night, Democrats can write off Texas. Personally, I would take Iowa off the table too - even as a few on here got so excited about Iowa flipping. What does that leave… North Carolina and Maine. Republicans have a few pickup potentials too.. Georgia if Kemp runs, I would actually initially mark him the slightest favorite. Michigan, where the 2018 race against Stabenow was highly competitive for a blue wave. New Hampshire would be nice if Sununu ran.

And of course, both sides will probably make a seat competitive that no one is looking at right now. Who will be the 2026 Republican Senator to struggle against an Independent?

2024 is over - now I’m excited for 2026! :)

 
D:6086Jason (13430.6523 points)
x2
Mon, November 11, 2024 05:52:34 PM UTC0:00
Democrats are going to have to target red states over the next several cycles. They don't have any other choice.

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Mon, November 11, 2024 08:07:09 PM UTC0:00

Jason: Democrats are going to have to target red states over the next several cycles. They don't have any other choice.



Looking ahead to potential 2026 competitive Senate Races--

GOP held seats and Presidential result:

Maine: D +7
North Carolina: R +3
Ohio Special: R +11
Iowa: R +13
Texas: R +14
Alaska: R +15
Kansas: R +16

Dem-held seats ranked by 2024 result:

Georgia: R +2
Michigan: R +1
New Hampshire: D +3
Minnesota: D +4
New Jersey: D +5
Virginia: D +5
New Mexico: D +6

Maine will be the big target and probably the Ohio special. GOP will be on defense but mostly on friendly territory.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Mon, November 11, 2024 11:56:32 PM UTC0:00
It's a good thing to see new faces the start of every Congress. Change in leadership and membership is good. The American people does not benefit from having career politicians.

I support not just term limits for Congress, but also maximum age limits for Congress. A maximum 2 elected terms in the U.S Senate and maximum 6 terms in the U.S House would be fair. 75 years old and then you're ineligible to seek re-election would be fair too.

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Tue, November 12, 2024 01:55:05 AM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: There will be 13 new faces in the U.S Senate.

And now it looks like 14.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Tue, November 12, 2024 04:37:17 AM UTC0:00
Then who's the 14th new face

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Tue, November 12, 2024 01:29:33 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Then who's the 14th new face
Person who replaces Rubio.

 
D:10973Patrick ( 6.5582 points)
Wed, November 13, 2024 01:04:07 AM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: I support not just term limits for Congress, but also maximum age limits for Congress. A maximum 2 elected terms in the U.S Senate and maximum 6 terms in the U.S House would be fair. 75 years old and then you're ineligible to seek re-election would be fair too.

What else do you support all of us want to know