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  NC US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2026 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open November 03, 2026 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close November 03, 2026 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2033 - 12:00pm
Contributormg2685a
Last ModifiedCampari_007 November 17, 2024 02:26pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameThomas "Thom" Tillis Votes2,665,598 (48.69%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin95,633 (+1.75%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 03, 2026 NC US Senate - D Primary
Cheri Beasley
Roy Cooper
J. Calvin "Cal" Cunningham
Donald G. "Don" Davis
Joan E. Higginbotham
Rachel H. Hunt
Jeff Jackson
Vi Alexander Lyles
Wiley Nickel
Braxton Winston II
Mar 03, 2026 NC US Senate - R Primary
Don Brown
Michele Morrow
Andy Nilsson
Lichia Sibhatu
Thomas "Thom" Tillis
Lara Trump
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/16/2023 04/08/2025
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Republican Primary Winner 4 2 ----
Democratic Primary Winner 6 1 ----
Leaning Call: Republican Primary Winner (50.00%)
Weighted Call: Democratic Primary Winner (51.35%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/26/2024 03/05/2025

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Republican Primary Winner Democratic Primary Winner  
Note: Candidates that appear in italics are speculative and have not officially announced
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling 
03/04/25-03/05/25		 Thomas "Thom" Tillis - 43.00% -- Roy Cooper - 47.00% --
Victory Insights 
11/26/24-11/29/24		 Thomas "Thom" Tillis - 44.10% -- Roy Cooper - 45.10% --
Victory Insights 
11/26/24-11/29/24		 Lara Trump - 44.30% -- Roy Cooper - 45.50% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
NDP BigZuck08
 


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DISCUSSION
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16
Previous Messages]
 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 50.8295 points)
Fri, March 7, 2025 10:28:16 PM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: Prediction:
If Tillis is the nominee, he wins by a slight margin. Predication negated if Roy Cooper is the Dem nominee.

If Tillis gets primaried out/retires, Dem pickup.

I second this... Tillis will win by less than 1%.