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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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PA District 12 - D Primary
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| Parents |
> United States > Pennsylvania > PA - District 12
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| Office | House of Representatives |
| Honorific | Representative - Abbr: Rep. |
| Type | Democratic Primary Election |
| Filing Deadline | December 08, 2023 - 07:00pm Central |
| Polls Open | April 23, 2024 - 07:00am Central |
| Polls Close | April 23, 2024 - 07:00pm Central |
| Term Start | January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm |
| Term End | January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm |
| Turnout |
41.31% Registered
16.48% Total Population
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Modified | RBH June 03, 2024 07:27pm |
| Data Sources | [Link] |
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| DISCUSSION |
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| [View All 15 Previous Messages] |
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 I:8766 | Pennsylvanian ( 404.5480 points)
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Mon, April 22, 2024 11:17:36 PM UTC0:00
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The demographic makeup of the district alone (i.e. the entirety of the inner city, the Hill District, etc.) should swing it to Lee with relative ease. She pulls from the type of Democrat who isn't really Biden's key constituency, and there are an abundance here. Patel's ads hit Lee on not being supportive enough of the Biden agenda (i.e. being affiliated with "The Squad"), but that won't be an albatross for her. Patel would need to really run it up in some of these southern suburbs to have any shot. But I don't see it.
The demographic makeup of the district alone (i.e. the entirety of the inner city, the Hill District, etc.) should swing it to Lee with relative ease. She pulls from the type of Democrat who isn't really Biden's key constituency, and there are an abundance here. Patel's ads hit Lee on not being supportive enough of the Biden agenda (i.e. being affiliated with "The Squad"), but that won't be an albatross for her. Patel would need to really run it up in some of these southern suburbs to have any shot. But I don't see it.
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| LBR:1802 | Old LW ( 599.6209 points)
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Mon, April 22, 2024 11:18:11 PM UTC0:00
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Lee's not vulnerable. Not in the slightest.
Lee's not vulnerable. Not in the slightest.
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| I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
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Mon, April 22, 2024 11:29:01 PM UTC0:00
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And it doesn't help that literally not that long ago Biden just shouted out Summer Lee (Plus Fetterman and DeLuzio) as allies who do good for their state, so...hard to run on "SHE IS ANTI-BIDEN" with that out there....
And it doesn't help that literally not that long ago Biden just shouted out Summer Lee (Plus Fetterman and DeLuzio) as allies who do good for their state, so...hard to run on "SHE IS ANTI-BIDEN" with that out there....
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| I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
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Mon, April 22, 2024 11:37:00 PM UTC0:00
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Lee's not vulnerable. Not in the slightest.
Like of the Squad, the only ones that are venerable are Bowman and Bush.
But because their opponents do have inroads, granted I don't think either are too weak for it to matter too much, but still enough to warrant me donating to them
Old LW: Lee's not vulnerable. Not in the slightest.
Like of the Squad, the only ones that are venerable are Bowman and Bush.
But because their opponents do have inroads, granted I don't think either are too weak for it to matter too much, but still enough to warrant me donating to them
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| D:11204 | NCdem ( 912.2076 points)
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Tue, April 23, 2024 11:41:38 AM UTC0:00
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I feel like Omar is vulnerable as well idk
I feel like Omar is vulnerable as well idk
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| I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
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Tue, April 23, 2024 03:37:42 PM UTC0:00
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Don Samuels Drowning a Kid ruins his chances
Don Samuels Drowning a Kid ruins his chances
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| R:250 | Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
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Tue, April 23, 2024 04:04:04 PM UTC0:00
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I feel like Omar is vulnerable as well idk
She is the one most vulnerable in a General Election.
NCdem: I feel like Omar is vulnerable as well idk
She is the one most vulnerable in a General Election.
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| D:11204 | NCdem ( 912.2076 points)
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Wed, April 24, 2024 02:05:35 AM UTC0:00
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Will do in the future!
Will do in the future!
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| D:11204 | NCdem ( 912.2076 points)
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Wed, April 24, 2024 02:07:33 AM UTC0:00
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For tonight im using this it is pretty handy: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/
For tonight im using this it is pretty handy: [Link]
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| I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
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Wed, April 24, 2024 02:49:56 AM UTC0:00
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Its called.
W for those who oppose the GOP, L for those who support it!
Its called.
W for those who oppose the GOP, L for those who support it!
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
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Wed, April 24, 2024 08:13:28 PM UTC0:00
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A short list of things that are your friend on here: Copy and Paste. The Tab button.
As for the election.. wonder how much of the expectations are different for a Congress member representing Pittsburgh (the 26th largest media market) as opposed to just having a larger market and having more expectations put upon you.
That might work better as a theory for Minneapolis (the 15th market) than for St. Louis (the 24th market) since STL is barely larger than Pittsburgh and Bush has had to deal with tougher primaries than Lee. Unless St. Louis perceives itself to be larger than Pittsburgh, which is a thing in baseball.
A short list of things that are your friend on here: Copy and Paste. The Tab button.
As for the election.. wonder how much of the expectations are different for a Congress member representing Pittsburgh (the 26th largest media market) as opposed to just having a larger market and having more expectations put upon you.
That might work better as a theory for Minneapolis (the 15th market) than for St. Louis (the 24th market) since STL is barely larger than Pittsburgh and Bush has had to deal with tougher primaries than Lee. Unless St. Louis perceives itself to be larger than Pittsburgh, which is a thing in baseball.
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