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  MT - At-Large
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > MT - At Large
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 12, 2012 - 12:00am Central
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedRBH December 03, 2012 03:07am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NameDennis Rehberg Votes217,696 (60.41%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/03/2013 Margin95,742 (+26.57%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameRyan Zinke Votes203,871 (55.41%)
Term01/03/2015 - 01/03/2017 Margin55,181 (+15.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 05, 2012 MT At-Large - LBT Primary
David Kaiser
LBT 1
Jun 05, 2012 MT At-Large - R Primary
Steve Daines
R 115,631
Jun 05, 2012 MT At-Large - D Primary
Kim Gillan
D 80,511
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/21/2010 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Steve Daines 14 12 6 1
Leaning Call: Steve Daines (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Steve Daines (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/16/2011 11/03/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Steve Daines St. Sen. Kim Gillan David Kaiser  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 255,468 (53.25%) 204,939 (42.72%) 19,333 (4.03%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -50,529 (-10.53%) -236,135 (-49.22%)  
Predict Avg.34.00% 30.33% 1.33%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $121,158.64 10/17 $153,596.25 $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 02/03/2011 06/21/2011 03/07/2012  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (13 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.03%-- 38.19%-- 1.51%--  
Public Policy Polling 
11/02/12-11/03/12		 48.00% 5.0 44.00% 10.0 3.00% 7.0
Mason-Dixon 
10/29/12-10/31/12		 51.00% 5.0 40.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0
Pharos Research Group 
10/26/12-10/28/12		 51.60% 4.3 44.60% 3.4 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12		 47.34% 0.5 41.18% 0.3 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/12/12-10/14/12		 47.89% -- 41.45% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
10/08/12-10/10/12		 43.00% 3.0 34.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Missoulian
R Maryland Republican
D Labour Dem
LBT Smart
LBT Jed
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/28/2012 Steve Daines TVAd Issue eng Scary Story  00:00:30 RBH 
10/02/2012 Kim Gillan TVAd Biography eng Only  00:00:31 RP 
10/01/2012 Steve Daines vs Kim Gillan TVAd Contrast eng Differences  00:00:30 RP 
09/06/2012 Steve Daines TVAd Biography eng Better Future  00:00:30 RP 
09/06/2012 Steve Daines TVAd Biography eng Montana Roots  00:00:30 RP 

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