Poll Average Details- NC US President - 2024-11-05 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Joe Biden Joe Biden	Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.	Cornel West	Jill Stein
Morning Consult	5/13	X 1.00000		49.0000 - -1.6394 bias	42.0000 - 3.1429 bias
GS Strategy Group (R)	5/13	X 1.00000		44.0000 - 2.7186 bias	36.0000 - -0.9260 bias	8.0000 - -10.6090 bias	3.0000 - -10.6090 bias	1.0000 - 0.5250 bias
High Point University	5/9	X 0.93333		44.0000 - -1.6580 bias	42.0000 - -0.0133 bias
Cygnal (R)	5/5	X 0.86667		42.6000 - 0.1689 bias	38.1000 - 0.0766 bias	8.8000 - 3.6142 bias
Emerson College	4/29	X 0.76667		47.0000 - 0.6906 bias	42.0000 - 0.8084 bias
Meredith College	4/17	X 0.56667		41.0000 - -1.9836 bias	39.0000 - 3.6941 bias	9.0000 - bias
Quinnipiac University	4/8	X 0.41667		41.0000 - -0.2682 bias	38.0000 - 1.0754 bias	12.0000 - 4.3101 bias	3.0000 - 4.3101 bias	3.0000 - 1.2442 bias
TOTAL				44.750429	38.724555	11.020170	9.221029	0.851706