Poll Average Details- NH US President - 2024-11-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Kamala Harris Joe Biden	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Chase Oliver	Jill Stein	Write-In
Dartmouth College	11/3	X 1.00000		61.9000 - bias	33.5000 - bias
University of New Hampshire	11/2	X 0.98333		51.0000 - 2.6652 bias	46.0000 - -2.2994 bias	1.0000 - 0.3437 bias
Saint Anselm College	10/29	X 0.91667		51.0000 - 1.8450 bias	46.0000 - -1.4118 bias	0.6000 - -0.0179 bias	0.2000 - bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/28	X 0.90000		48.0000 - 0.4222 bias	47.0000 - 1.5749 bias
Praecones Analytica	10/26	X 0.86667		49.8000 - 0.4633 bias	50.2000 - 2.4927 bias
YouGov	10/25	X 0.85000		52.0000 - 1.4663 bias	45.0000 - -0.0047 bias
Emerson College	10/23	X 0.81667		50.0000 - 1.1507 bias	47.0000 - 0.4363 bias
University of Massachusetts	10/23	X 0.81667		50.0000 - 1.8061 bias	43.0000 - -1.3567 bias	1.0000 - 1.1635 bias	1.0000 - 0.7541 bias
TOTAL				50.667420	44.641930	0.396900	0.221626	0.000000