Poll Average Details- FL US Senate - 2024-11-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Rick Scott Rick Scott	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	Ben Everidge	Feena M. Bonoan	Howard W. Knepper	Tuan TQ Nguyen
Research Co.	11/3	X 1.00000		50.0000 - -0.8902 bias	43.0000 - 2.9639 bias
Victory Insights	11/2	X 0.98333		51.0000 - bias	47.0000 - bias
Morning Consult	11/1	X 0.96667		48.0000 - -1.6378 bias	45.0000 - 3.2496 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/28	X 0.90000		49.0000 - 0.0406 bias	45.0000 - 0.2032 bias	1.0000 - -0.4261 bias	2.0000 - 1.6701 bias
Florida Atlantic University	10/27	X 0.88333		50.0000 - -1.2483 bias	46.0000 - 2.7986 bias
ActiVote	10/27	X 0.88333		55.2000 - bias	44.8000 - bias
St. Pete Polls	10/25	X 0.85000		49.0000 - -1.0782 bias	46.0000 - 1.3486 bias
Cherry Communications	10/20	X 0.76667		51.0000 - -0.0745 bias	46.0000 - 0.5537 bias
Emerson College	10/20	X 0.76667		48.0000 - 0.4363 bias	44.0000 - 1.1507 bias
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	10/18	X 0.73333		45.0000 - -3.3508 bias	42.0000 - 5.3290 bias		1.0000 - 0.2578 bias
University of North Florida	10/18	X 0.73333		49.0000 - -2.1858 bias	46.0000 - 2.3024 bias
RMG Research	10/17	X 0.71667		52.0000 - -1.9223 bias	44.0000 - 3.3133 bias
Marist Institute	10/7	X 0.55000		50.0000 - -0.7027 bias	48.0000 - 1.2095 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/6	X 0.53333		49.0000 - -0.2762 bias	40.0000 - 0.8995 bias
Public Policy Polling	9/26	X 0.36667		44.0000 - -0.1911 bias	43.0000 - 1.3449 bias		2.0000 - 1.3665 bias
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	9/25	X 0.35000		51.0000 - 4.0805 bias	44.0000 - -3.4211 bias
Bullfinch Group	9/23	X 0.31667		46.0000 - bias	44.0000 - bias
TOTAL				50.268466	43.154355	1.426100	0.536737	0.000000	0.000000