Poll Average Details- OK Governor - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Kevin Stitt	Joy Hofmeister	Ervin Stone Yen	Natalie Bruno
Ascend Action	11/6	X 1.00000		49.0000 - -6.5874 bias	46.0000 - 7.7497 bias	1.0000 - -0.4494 bias	1.0000 - -1.1251 bias
Tomahawk Strategies	11/3	X 0.95000		42.0000 - bias	45.0000 - bias
Blueprint Polling	11/1	X 0.91667		48.0000 - bias	40.0000 - bias	4.0000 - bias	2.0000 - bias
Amber Integrated	10/28	X 0.85000		45.0000 - -4.1979 bias	44.0000 - 3.1300 bias	4.0000 - 0.6322 bias	2.0000 - 0.1594 bias
Emerson College	10/28	X 0.85000		52.0000 - 0.4363 bias	43.0000 - 1.1507 bias	4.0000 - 0.7151 bias	2.0000 - 1.0850 bias
Sooner Poll	10/6	X 0.48333		43.0000 - -4.1838 bias	46.8000 - 3.0796 bias	1.3000 - 1.7557 bias	2.3000 - 0.8480 bias
Bruno Political Consulting	9/18	X 0.18333	X 1/2	39.0000 - bias	40.0000 - bias	5.0000 - bias	9.0000 - bias
TOTAL				48.917069	41.382800	2.626387	1.867394