Poll Average Details- Bulgaria National Assembly - Popular Vote - 2021-11-14 12:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal We Continue the Change GERB—SDS Movement for Rights and Freedoms BSP for Bulgaria There Is Such a People Democratic Bulgaria Revival Stand up BG! We are Coming! VMRO – Bulgarian National Movement Independent Attack People's Voice Volya Movement The Green Party Bulgarian National Unification Bulgarian National Union – New Democracy Bulgarian Progressive Line MIR Direct Democracy Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy Prosperity-Unity-Creativity Bulgarian Patriots National Unification of the Right Brigade Russophiles for the Revival of the Fatherland Bulgarian Social Democracy - Euroleft Society for a New Bulgaria
Gallup10/31X 1.00000   13.7000 - -11.2380 bias 24.2000 - 2.8059 bias 11.1000 - 0.2351 bias 15.7000 - 6.3751 bias 11.3000 - 2.4100 bias 9.8000 - 3.9872 bias 3.3000 - -1.3849 bias 3.1000 - 0.9845 bias 2.3000 - 1.3511 bias                                    
TOTAL 24.938000 21.394100 10.864900 9.324900 8.890000 5.812800 4.684900 2.115500 0.948900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000