Poll Average Details- NH US Senate - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Maggie Hassan Write-In	Donald C. Bolduc Donald C. Bolduc	Jeremy Kauffman	Write-In
University of New Hampshire	11/6	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 2.6652 bias	48.0000 - -2.2994 bias	1.0000 - 0.3437 bias
Phillips Academy	11/6	X 1.00000		48.0000 - -2.1782 bias	45.0000 - 3.5837 bias	2.0000 - bias
Data for Progress	11/5	X 0.98333		50.0000 - 1.8027 bias	47.0000 - -1.0296 bias	2.0000 - 0.6931 bias
Trafalgar Group	11/1	X 0.91667		46.0000 - -1.5916 bias	47.0000 - 1.6400 bias	4.0000 - 1.0064 bias
Emerson College	11/1	X 0.91667		50.0000 - 1.1507 bias	46.0000 - 0.4363 bias	2.0000 - 1.0850 bias
Saint Anselm College	10/28	X 0.85000		47.0000 - 1.8450 bias	48.0000 - -1.4118 bias	2.0000 - -0.0179 bias
co/efficient	10/26	X 0.81667		45.0000 - -1.7398 bias	45.0000 - 1.9160 bias
University of Massachusetts	10/25	X 0.80000		51.0000 - 1.8061 bias	41.0000 - -1.3567 bias	3.0000 - 1.1635 bias
Fabrizio Lee (R)	10/19	X 0.70000	X 1/2	49.0000 - -0.5675 bias	47.0000 - -0.7814 bias
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research	10/6	X 0.48333		52.0000 - -0.7836 bias	45.0000 - 1.4212 bias
Suffolk University	9/26	X 0.31667		50.0000 - 1.6916 bias	41.0000 - -2.2107 bias	3.0000 - 1.3790 bias
American Research Group	9/19	X 0.20000		53.0000 - -0.0037 bias	40.0000 - 0.7897 bias
TOTAL				48.414437	45.483500	1.654354	0.000000