Poll Average Details- NYC Mayor - D Primary - 2021-06-22 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Eric L. Adams Eric L. AdamsKathryn A. Garcia Eric L. AdamsAndrew Yang Eric L. AdamsMaya D. Wiley Eric L. AdamsScott M. Stringer Eric L. AdamsShaun L. S. Donovan Eric L. AdamsDianne Morales Eric L. AdamsRaymond J. McGuire Eric L. AdamsAaron S. Foldenauer Eric L. AdamsIsaac Wright, Jr. Eric L. AdamsArt Chang Eric L. AdamsPaperboy Love Prince Eric L. AdamsJoycelyn Taylor Eric L. Adams Write-In Eric L. AdamsAhsan Syed Eric L. AdamsBarbara Kavovit Eric L. Adams
Data for Progress6/20X 1.00000   26.0000 18.0000 12.0000 21.0000 5.0000 3.0000 2.0000 3.0000                
Citizen Data6/17X 0.95000   32.0000 18.0000 11.0000 18.0000 6.0000 5.0000 6.0000 3.0000                
Ipsos6/17X 0.95000   28.0000 15.0000 20.0000 13.0000 8.0000 5.0000 1.0000 5.0000                
Emerson College6/16X 0.93333   23.1000 17.4000 13.6000 18.3000 8.8000 2.4000 2.1000 3.2000 0.1000   0.9000 0.4000        
McLaughlin & Associates (R)6/15X 0.91667   21.0000 16.0000 10.0000 17.0000 7.0000 3.0000 3.0000 2.0000                
Change Research6/14X 0.90000  X 1/2 23.0000 19.0000 12.0000 19.0000 8.0000 4.0000 1.0000 3.0000                
Schoen Cooperman Research6/13X 0.88333   22.0000 14.0000 18.0000 16.0000 9.0000 6.0000 4.0000 4.0000                
Public Opinion Strategies (R)6/13X 0.88333   24.0000 22.0000 14.0000 20.0000 9.0000 4.0000 2.0000 2.0000     1.0000 1.0000 1.0000      
Honan Strategy Group6/10X 0.83333   31.0000 15.0000 21.0000 7.0000 6.0000 9.0000 1.0000 1.0000                
Marist Institute6/9X 0.81667   24.0000 17.0000 13.0000 15.0000 7.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000     1.0000 1.0000        
Media Predict6/6X 0.76667   20.0000 15.0000 19.0000 7.0000 8.0000 4.0000 5.0000 1.0000                
Slingshot Strategies6/6X 0.76667  X 1/2 17.0000 14.0000 16.0000 8.0000 12.0000 3.0000 7.0000 4.0000 4.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 0.0000      
Core Decision Analytics5/19X 0.46667   18.0000 11.0000 13.0000 9.0000 7.0000 4.0000 9.0000 4.0000                
Public Opinion Research5/17X 0.43333   18.0000 11.0000 19.0000 10.0000 8.0000 4.0000 6.0000 6.0000   1.0000   1.0000        
Mercury Public Affairs (R)5/1X 0.16667  X 1/2 14.0000 4.0000 21.0000 6.0000 14.0000 6.0000 3.0000 6.0000                
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)4/29X 0.13333   21.0000   18.0000   15.0000 8.0000   6.0000                
TOTAL 24.095865 16.194419 15.091271 14.791938 7.698009 4.360490 3.345116 3.070750 1.235443 1.000000 0.969061 0.837681 0.697368 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000