Poll Average Details- ME US President - CD 2 - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Donald J. Trump	Joe Biden	Jo Jorgensen	Howie Hawkins	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	Write-In
Change Research	11/2	X 1.00000		46.0000 - -1.2694 bias	47.0000 - 1.8288 bias	4.0000 - 1.4827 bias	1.0000 - 1.0606 bias
Emerson College	10/31	X 0.96667		47.0000 - 0.3326 bias	50.0000 - 1.2939 bias
Survey USA	10/27	X 0.90000		45.0000 - 0.3289 bias	48.0000 - 0.6566 bias	2.0000 - 1.2900 bias	2.0000 - 2.1113 bias	1.0000 - 0.8727 bias
Colby College	10/25	X 0.86667		42.0000 - -4.2343 bias	46.0000 - 5.6765 bias
Pan Atlantic SMS	10/6	X 0.55000		43.0000 - -2.7863 bias	47.0000 - 2.7898 bias
Critical Insights	10/4	X 0.51667		49.0000 - -1.3481 bias	41.0000 - 2.6037 bias	2.0000 - 1.0841 bias	1.0000 - -0.4810 bias
Suffolk University	9/20	X 0.28333		45.0000 - -2.1920 bias	47.0000 - 1.6686 bias
Siena Research Institute	9/16	X 0.21667		45.0000 - -0.3894 bias	47.0000 - 1.1018 bias
Quinnipiac University	9/14	X 0.18333		44.0000 - -0.5266 bias	53.0000 - 1.6408 bias
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research	9/5	X 0.03333		45.0000 - 0.8224 bias	49.0000 - 2.7363 bias
TOTAL				46.530239	44.902122	1.501868	0.250102	0.127300	0.000000