Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Special Election - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler Doug Collins Matt Lieberman Brian Slowinski Elbert A. "Al" Bartell Ed Tarver Allen Buckley Valencia Stovall Derrick E. "TMOT" Grayson Annette Davis Jackson Rod Mack John "Green" Fortuin Kandiss Taylor Deborah A. Jackson Jamesia James Joy Felicia Slade Michael Todd Greene Tamara Y. Johnson-Shealey Richard Dien Winfield
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   41.0000 - 1.8716 bias 26.0000 - -1.0945 bias 21.0000 - -1.0945 bias 8.0000 - 1.8716 bias     3.0000 - 1.8716 bias                          
Landmark Communications (R)11/1X 1.00000   37.8000 - 0.3507 bias 27.0000 - 0.2496 bias 24.4000 - 0.2496 bias 5.3000 - 0.3507 bias 1.1000 - 1.2136 bias   1.0000 - 0.3507 bias                          
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   37.9000 - 1.2939 bias 23.6000 - 0.3326 bias 26.8000 - 0.3326 bias 7.9000 - 1.2939 bias     2.3000 - 1.2939 bias                          
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.93333   46.0000 - 1.4367 bias 27.0000 - -0.2365 bias 19.0000 - -0.2365 bias 2.0000 - 1.4367 bias                                
Monmouth University10/27X 0.91667   41.0000 - 2.3166 bias 21.0000 - -1.2430 bias 18.0000 - -1.2430 bias 4.0000 - 2.3166 bias 2.0000 - 0.6817 bias   3.0000 - 2.3166 bias                          
Civiqs10/26X 0.90000   48.0000 - 3.3540 bias 22.0000 - -1.5708 bias 23.0000 - -1.5708 bias 2.0000 - 3.3540 bias     1.0000 - 3.3540 bias                          
University of Georgia10/23X 0.85000   34.4000 - 0.6788 bias 20.1000 - -0.3543 bias 20.6000 - -0.3543 bias 3.9000 - 0.6788 bias 3.4000 - 2.2802 bias   1.2000 - 0.6788 bias                          
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   40.6100 - 3.9656 bias 23.0200 - -2.6046 bias 19.0300 - -2.6046 bias 3.7000 - 3.9656 bias     0.8400 - 3.9656 bias                          
Siena Research Institute10/19X 0.78333   32.0000 - 1.1018 bias 23.0000 - -0.3894 bias 17.0000 - -0.3894 bias                                  
Opinion Insight, LLC10/15X 0.71667   31.0000 - 2.6403 bias 19.0000 - -1.0657 bias 18.0000 - -1.0657 bias 3.0000 - 2.6403 bias   2.0000 - 1.9640 bias 1.0000 - 2.6403 bias                       2.0000 - 2.6403 bias 1.0000 - 2.6403 bias
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   41.0000 - 1.6408 bias 20.0000 - -0.5266 bias 22.0000 - -0.5266 bias 5.0000 - 1.6408 bias     2.0000 - 1.6408 bias                          
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   30.0000 - 0.6566 bias 26.0000 - 0.3289 bias 20.0000 - 0.3289 bias 8.0000 - 0.6566 bias     3.0000 - 0.6566 bias                          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/26X 0.40000   26.0000 - 3.2230 bias 25.0000 - -2.1742 bias 16.0000 - -2.1742 bias 16.0000 - 3.2230 bias                                
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   28.0000 - 3.7057 bias 28.0000 - -1.3873 bias 21.0000 - -1.3873 bias 8.0000 - 3.7057 bias     3.0000 - 3.7057 bias                          
GBAO9/16X 0.23333  X 1/2 25.0000 - 2.4423 bias 29.0000 - 1.7521 bias 19.0000 - 1.7521 bias 11.0000 - 2.4423 bias     5.0000 - 2.4423 bias                          
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   19.0000 - 2.7363 bias 24.0000 - 0.8224 bias 20.0000 - 0.8224 bias 10.0000 - 2.7363 bias     7.0000 - 2.7363 bias                          
TOTAL 35.923619 24.277290 21.424549 3.503869 0.739761 0.036000 0.017345 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.640300 -1.640300