Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Special Election - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Raphael Warnock Kelly Loeffler Doug Collins Matt Lieberman Brian Slowinski Elbert A. "Al" Bartell Ed Tarver Allen Buckley Valencia Stovall Derrick E. "TMOT" Grayson Annette Davis Jackson Rod Mack John "Green" Fortuin Kandiss Taylor Deborah A. Jackson Jamesia James Joy Felicia Slade Michael Todd Greene Tamara Y. Johnson-Shealey Richard Dien Winfield
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   41.0000 - 1.8027 bias 26.0000 - -1.0296 bias 21.0000 - -1.0296 bias 8.0000 - 1.8027 bias     3.0000 - 1.8027 bias                          
Landmark Communications (R)11/1X 1.00000   37.8000 - 0.3170 bias 27.0000 - 0.1344 bias 24.4000 - 0.1344 bias 5.3000 - 0.3170 bias 1.1000 - 1.2205 bias   1.0000 - 0.3170 bias                          
Emerson College10/31X 0.98333   37.9000 - 1.1507 bias 23.6000 - 0.4363 bias 26.8000 - 0.4363 bias 7.9000 - 1.1507 bias     2.3000 - 1.1507 bias                          
Public Policy Polling10/28X 0.93333   46.0000 - 1.3449 bias 27.0000 - -0.1911 bias 19.0000 - -0.1911 bias 2.0000 - 1.3449 bias                                
Monmouth University10/27X 0.91667   41.0000 - 2.2180 bias 21.0000 - -1.1567 bias 18.0000 - -1.1567 bias 4.0000 - 2.2180 bias 2.0000 - 0.7100 bias   3.0000 - 2.2180 bias                          
Civiqs10/26X 0.90000   48.0000 - 3.3258 bias 22.0000 - -1.5763 bias 23.0000 - -1.5763 bias 2.0000 - 3.3258 bias     1.0000 - 3.3258 bias                          
University of Georgia10/23X 0.85000   34.4000 - 0.5834 bias 20.1000 - -0.4260 bias 20.6000 - -0.4260 bias 3.9000 - 0.5834 bias 3.4000 - 2.3122 bias   1.2000 - 0.5834 bias                          
Citizen Data10/20X 0.80000   40.6100 - 4.0252 bias 23.0200 - -2.6631 bias 19.0300 - -2.6631 bias 3.7000 - 4.0252 bias     0.8400 - 4.0252 bias                          
Siena Research Institute10/19X 0.78333   32.0000 - 0.8995 bias 23.0000 - -0.2762 bias 17.0000 - -0.2762 bias                                  
Opinion Insight, LLC10/15X 0.71667   31.0000 - 2.6804 bias 19.0000 - -1.1125 bias 18.0000 - -1.1125 bias 3.0000 - 2.6804 bias   2.0000 - 1.8966 bias 1.0000 - 2.6804 bias                       2.0000 - 2.6804 bias 1.0000 - 2.6804 bias
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   41.0000 - 1.4883 bias 20.0000 - -0.4574 bias 22.0000 - -0.4574 bias 5.0000 - 1.4883 bias     2.0000 - 1.4883 bias                          
Survey USA10/12X 0.66667   30.0000 - 0.6087 bias 26.0000 - 0.3321 bias 20.0000 - 0.3321 bias 8.0000 - 0.6087 bias     3.0000 - 0.6087 bias                          
Redfield & Wilton Strategies9/26X 0.40000   26.0000 - 5.3290 bias 25.0000 - -3.3508 bias 16.0000 - -3.3508 bias 16.0000 - 5.3290 bias                                
Hart Research (D)9/19X 0.28333   28.0000 - 3.6405 bias 28.0000 - -1.3564 bias 21.0000 - -1.3564 bias 8.0000 - 3.6405 bias     3.0000 - 3.6405 bias                          
GBAO9/16X 0.23333  X 1/2 25.0000 - 0.2475 bias 29.0000 - -0.2475 bias 19.0000 - -0.2475 bias 11.0000 - 0.2475 bias     5.0000 - 0.2475 bias                          
Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research9/5X 0.05000   19.0000 - 2.7809 bias 24.0000 - 0.5895 bias 20.0000 - 0.5895 bias 10.0000 - 2.7809 bias     7.0000 - 2.7809 bias                          
TOTAL 35.939116 24.326353 21.473612 3.505136 0.718059 0.103400 0.103351 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.680400 -1.680400