Poll Average Details- PA Governor - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Josh Shapiro Douglas V. "Doug" Mastriano Matt Hackenburg Christina Digiulio Joseph P. Soloski Write-In Candace Wagner
Targoz Market Research11/6X 1.00000   52.0000 - 3.5777 bias 46.0000 - -1.9697 bias          
Research Co.11/6X 1.00000   55.0000 - 2.9639 bias 43.0000 - -0.8902 bias          
Patriot Polling11/5X 0.98333   51.5000 - -1.4814 bias 45.0000 - 2.5748 bias          
Marist Institute11/2X 0.93333   54.0000 - 1.2095 bias 40.0000 - -0.7027 bias          
Remington Research11/2X 0.93333   52.0000 - 0.4157 bias 40.0000 - -0.1037 bias 2.0000 - 0.3517 bias 1.0000 - 0.3991 bias      
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)11/1X 0.91667   52.0000 - 1.0661 bias 38.0000 - -0.9386 bias          
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/30X 0.88333   53.0000 - 1.3689 bias 37.0000 - -0.7750 bias          
Muhlenberg College10/28X 0.85000   54.0000 - -0.4588 bias 40.0000 - 1.4137 bias          
co/efficient10/28X 0.85000   51.0000 - -1.7398 bias 41.0000 - 1.9160 bias          
Center Street PAC10/26X 0.81667   60.0000 - 8.2756 bias 35.0000 - -1.0972 bias          
Claremont McKenna College10/26X 0.81667   53.0000 - bias 38.0000 - bias          
InsiderAdvantage10/26X 0.81667   50.2000 - -0.3111 bias 41.8000 - 0.1719 bias 2.8000 - 0.9267 bias        
Franklin & Marshall College10/23X 0.76667   58.0000 - 0.9775 bias 36.0000 - -0.9688 bias          
Echelon Insights10/20X 0.71667   50.0000 - -0.7602 bias 38.0000 - -0.1304 bias 1.0000 - 0.9234 bias 1.0000 - 0.7036 bias 1.0000 - 0.7165 bias    
SSRS10/17X 0.66667   56.0000 - 2.1629 bias 41.0000 - -1.7743 bias          
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research10/12X 0.58333   53.0000 - -0.7836 bias 42.0000 - 1.4212 bias          
Monmouth University10/3X 0.43333   54.0000 - 2.2180 bias 38.0000 - -1.1567 bias          
Suffolk University9/30X 0.38333   48.2000 - 1.6916 bias 36.8000 - -2.2107 bias 1.2000 - 1.3790 bias 0.6000 - 0.3882 bias 0.2000 - 0.1260 bias    
Emerson College9/26X 0.31667   51.0000 - 1.1507 bias 41.0000 - 0.4363 bias          
Phillips Academy9/19X 0.20000   45.9000 - -2.1782 bias 42.5000 - 3.5837 bias          
YouGov9/12X 0.08333   55.0000 - 1.4663 bias 44.0000 - -0.0047 bias          
TOTAL 52.017033 40.311833 1.071774 0.420221 0.210492 0.000000 0.000000