Poll Average Details- SC US President - 2020-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpJoe Biden Joe BidenJo Jorgensen Howie Hawkins Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente
SurveyMonkey11/1X 1.00000   55.0000 - -2.0483 bias 43.0000 - 2.5798 bias      
Swayable11/1X 1.00000   49.8000 - -2.6599 bias 48.9000 - 2.6682 bias 1.0000 - 0.6844 bias 0.4000 - 0.2149 bias  
Data for Progress11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - -1.0296 bias 44.0000 - 1.8027 bias 2.0000 - 0.6931 bias    
Morning Consult10/31X 0.98333   51.1000 - -1.6378 bias 44.5000 - 3.2496 bias      
Starboard Communications10/26X 0.90000   51.0000 - -0.6807 bias 44.0000 - 1.5628 bias      
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach10/25X 0.88333   52.0000 - -0.5399 bias 44.0000 - 2.2736 bias      
Siena Research Institute10/15X 0.71667   49.0000 - -0.2762 bias 41.0000 - 0.8995 bias 2.0000 - 1.2365 bias 1.0000 - 1.2461 bias  
Quinnipiac University9/27X 0.41667   48.0000 - -0.4574 bias 47.0000 - 1.4883 bias      
GBA Strategies (D)9/26X 0.40000   49.0000 - -1.4339 bias 44.0000 - 2.4072 bias      
YouGov9/25X 0.38333   52.0000 - -0.0047 bias 42.0000 - 1.4663 bias      
TOTAL 52.572677 42.213570 0.798653 0.005084 0.000000