Poll Average Details- Uruguay President - 2019-10-27 17:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Daniel Martínez Villaamil Luis Alberto Lacalle Pou Ernesto Talvi Guido Manini Ríos César Vega Edgardo Novick Pablo Mieres Gustavo Salle Lorier Gonzalo Abella Daniel Goldman Rafael Fernández
Opción Consultores10/9X 1.00000   33.0000 - -0.7267 bias 25.0000 - 0.4206 bias 10.0000 - -0.7527 bias 12.0000 - 2.9977 bias 2.0000 - 0.9827 bias 1.0000 - 0.0827 bias          
Grupo Radar9/29X 0.83333   39.3000 - 1.0138 bias 21.6000 - -6.8910 bias 16.6000 - 4.7281 bias 12.0000 - 1.2115 bias 1.1000 - -0.2654 bias 0.8000 - -0.2773 bias 1.1000 - 0.1560 bias 0.5000 - -0.2990 bias 1.0000 - 0.2147 bias 0.4000 - 0.1510 bias 0.3000 - 0.2576 bias
TOTAL 35.799200 26.357400 11.261427 9.814209 1.175527 0.990027 0.944000 0.799000 0.785300 0.249000 0.042400