Poll Average Details- HUN Parliament - National List Vote - 2022-04-03 14:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Fidesz–KDNP United for Hungary Our Homeland Movement Hungarian Two-tailed Dog Party Party of Normal Life Solution Movement National Self-Government of Germans in Hungary National Self-Government of Croats National Self-Government of Rusyns National Self-Government of Bulgarians National Self-Government of Armenians National Self-Government of Romanians National Self-Government of Slovaks National Self-Government of Serbs National Self-Government of Ukrainians National Self-Government of Poles National Self-Government of Greeks National Self-Government of Slovenes
Publicus3/31X 1.00000   47.0000 - -3.8192 bias 47.0000 - 13.0383 bias 3.0000 - -2.2754 bias 2.0000 - -0.3995 bias                            
TOTAL 50.819200 33.961700 5.275400 2.399500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000