Poll Average Details- NH Governor - 2020-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Chris Sununu	Dan Feltes	Darryl W. Perry	Write-In
American Research Group	10/28	X 1.00000		51.0000 - 0.7897 bias	46.0000 - -0.0037 bias	1.0000 - 0.7110 bias
University of New Hampshire	10/28	X 1.00000		60.0000 - -2.2994 bias	36.0000 - 2.6652 bias	2.0000 - 0.3437 bias
University of Massachusetts	10/26	X 0.96667		59.0000 - -1.3567 bias	36.0000 - 1.8061 bias
Saint Anselm College	10/26	X 0.96667		60.0000 - -1.4118 bias	35.0000 - 1.8450 bias	1.0000 - -0.0179 bias
Suffolk University	10/12	X 0.73333		55.0000 - -2.2107 bias	31.0000 - 1.6916 bias	4.0000 - 1.3790 bias
Emerson College	10/1	X 0.55000		54.8000 - 0.4363 bias	40.0000 - 1.1507 bias
TOTAL				57.905520	35.904609	1.311172	0.000000