Poll Average Details- NM Governor - 2018-11-06 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Michelle L. Lujan Grisham Michelle L. Lujan Grisham	Steve Pearce Steve Pearce
Research & Polling Inc.	11/1	X 1.00000		53.0000 - 0.0906 bias	43.0000 - 0.0183 bias
Carroll Strategies	10/29	X 0.95000		50.6000 - -3.2780 bias	45.5000 - 4.8620 bias
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)	10/26	X 0.90000	X 1/2	53.0000 - 2.2050 bias	44.0000 - -1.6040 bias
Emerson College	10/26	X 0.90000		53.0000 - 1.1507 bias	44.0000 - 0.4363 bias
Pacific Market Research	10/25	X 0.88333		48.0000 - -5.8349 bias	39.0000 - 1.3027 bias
NSON Opinion Research	9/24	X 0.36667		44.0000 - -2.8674 bias	40.0000 - -8.1601 bias
TOTAL				52.385603	42.258223