Poll Average Details- Sinaloa Governor - 2016-06-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Quirino Ordaz Coppel Héctor Melesio Cuén Ojeda Martín Alonso Heredia Lizárraga Francisco Cuauhtémoc Frías Castro Jesús Estrada Ferreiro Guadalupe Ramona Rocha Corales Mariano Gómez Aguirre Leobardo Alcántara Martínez Others Blank - Void
Demotecnia5/26X 1.00000   35.0000 - 2.3541 bias 25.0000 - -1.0422 bias 24.0000 - -0.5018 bias 6.0000 - 0.7028 bias 4.0000 - -0.6414 bias 4.0000 - 0.9685 bias 1.0000 - -0.3028 bias 1.0000 - 0.5668 bias    
Consulta Mitofsky4/24X 0.46667   35.1000 - 4.4544 bias 19.4000 - -5.6426 bias 24.6000 - -0.6534 bias 3.5000 - 0.4426 bias 3.7000 - 1.1453 bias 0.9000 - -0.2678 bias 4.8000 - 2.3468 bias 3.1000 - 0.4617 bias    
Gabinete de Comunicación Estratégica4/3X 0.11667   22.4000 - -6.6264 bias 19.9000 - bias 13.2000 - bias 14.0000 - 5.8039 bias 8.0000 - -0.9236 bias 1.4000 - -0.9906 bias 2.2000 - -0.6432 bias 0.9000 - 0.4435 bias    
TOTAL 31.789638 25.294998 23.890560 4.850652 4.341903 2.434975 1.755368 1.084841 0.000000 0.000000