Poll Average Details- IL US President - R Primary - 2016-03-15 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpTed Cruz Donald J. TrumpMarco A. Rubio Donald J. TrumpJohn Kasich Donald J. TrumpJeb Bush Donald J. TrumpCarly Fiorina Donald J. TrumpBen Carson Donald J. TrumpChris Christie Donald J. TrumpRand Paul Donald J. TrumpMike Huckabee Donald J. TrumpRick Santorum Donald J. TrumpJoann Breivogel Donald J. Trump
YouGov3/11X 1.00000   38.0000 34.0000 11.0000 16.0000                
Marist Institute3/10X 0.98333   34.0000 25.0000 16.0000 21.0000                
Research America3/6X 0.91667   32.0000 22.0000 21.0000 18.0000                
We Ask America2/24X 0.73333   38.4400 15.8700 21.2100 9.3100                
Overtime Politics1/16X 0.08333   36.0000 15.0000 16.0000 5.0000 5.0000 5.0000 5.0000 3.0000 3.0000      
TOTAL 35.503857 24.655964 16.915874 16.249507 5.000000 5.000000 5.000000 3.000000 3.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000