Poll Average Details- MI Attorney General - 2014-11-04 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Bill Schuette	Mark Totten	Justin M. Altman	John Anthony La Pietra	Gerald T. Van Sickle
Public Policy Polling	11/2	X 1.00000		47.0000 - -0.1911 bias	37.0000 - 1.3449 bias	3.0000 - 1.3665 bias	1.0000 - 0.8268 bias	2.0000 - 1.9911 bias
Mitchell Research & Communications	11/2	X 1.00000		49.0000 - -0.5753 bias	41.0000 - 1.8082 bias
EPIC/MRA	10/28	X 0.91667		47.0000 - 0.5993 bias	35.0000 - 0.9594 bias
Clarity Campaign Labs	10/20	X 0.78333	X 1/2	38.0000 - -1.3124 bias	38.0000 - 3.9429 bias
Target Insyght	9/24	X 0.35000		42.0000 - -1.7528 bias	41.0000 - 3.4951 bias
Denno-Noor Research (D)	9/13	X 0.16667		40.5000 - 2.1962 bias	32.5000 - 0.7212 bias
Suffolk University	9/10	X 0.11667		36.4000 - -2.2107 bias	42.8000 - 1.6916 bias	2.0000 - 1.3790 bias	0.6000 - 0.3882 bias	1.0000 - 1.5290 bias
Glengariff Group	9/5	X 0.03333		40.0000 - -0.8955 bias	38.0000 - 0.7307 bias
TOTAL				45.852313	36.189003	1.527716	0.177233	-0.047299