Poll Average Details- CT US Senate - 2006-11-07 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Joseph I. "Joe" Lieberman	Ned Lamont Ned Lamont	Alan R. Schlesinger	John M. Joy	Timothy A. Knibbs	Ralph Ferrucci	Carl E. Vassar
Polimetrix	11/5	X 1.00000		48.0000 - -0.2251 bias	44.0000 - 1.9452 bias	5.0000 - 1.6909 bias
Quinnipiac University	11/5	X 1.00000		50.0000 - 2.3737 bias	38.0000 - 1.4883 bias	8.0000 - -0.4574 bias
Survey USA	11/4	X 0.98333		49.0000 - 1.3320 bias	38.0000 - 0.6087 bias	9.0000 - 0.3321 bias
Reuters/Zogby	10/31	X 0.91667		49.0000 - 2.4180 bias	37.0000 - 1.3729 bias	8.0000 - 0.1506 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/28	X 0.86667		48.0000 - -0.2251 bias	40.0000 - 0.4222 bias	9.0000 - 1.5749 bias
Zogby Interactive	10/27	X 0.85000		47.4000 - -0.4373 bias	42.5000 - 0.0637 bias	6.3000 - 0.8374 bias
American Research Group	10/20	X 0.73333		49.0000 - 2.4180 bias	37.0000 - -0.0037 bias	8.0000 - 0.7897 bias
University of Connecticut	10/9	X 0.55000		48.0000 - 2.4643 bias	40.0000 - -0.1361 bias	4.0000 - 0.6120 bias
TOTAL				47.403864	38.779029	6.625285	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000