Poll Average Details- NV US Senate - 2018-11-06 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Dean Heller Dean Heller	Jacky Rosen Bobby Mahendra	Timothy Rex "Tim" Hagan	None of These Candidates	Barry Michaels	Kamau Bakari
Harris Interactive	11/4	X 1.00000		46.3000 - -0.0154 bias	45.8000 - 0.3835 bias
Emerson College	11/4	X 1.00000		45.0000 - 0.4363 bias	49.0000 - 1.1507 bias
Trafalgar Group	11/1	X 0.95000		49.0000 - 1.6400 bias	46.0000 - -1.5916 bias
SSRS	10/29	X 0.90000		45.0000 - -1.7743 bias	48.0000 - 2.1629 bias	2.0000 - 0.7186 bias	4.0000 - 2.5290 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	10/19	X 0.73333		47.0000 - 0.2867 bias	41.0000 - 3.1281 bias
Public Policy Polling	10/16	X 0.68333		46.0000 - -0.1911 bias	48.0000 - 1.3449 bias
Vox Populi	10/15	X 0.66667		49.0000 - -0.3032 bias	51.0000 - 2.4096 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/10	X 0.58333		47.0000 - -0.2762 bias	45.0000 - 0.8995 bias
Marist Institute	10/3	X 0.46667		44.0000 - -0.7027 bias	42.0000 - 1.2095 bias	8.0000 - 4.1685 bias
Gravis Marketing	9/12	X 0.11667		45.0000 - -0.0717 bias	47.0000 - 1.6087 bias
Suffolk University	9/10	X 0.08333		41.2000 - -2.2107 bias	41.6000 - 1.6916 bias	1.8000 - 1.3790 bias	2.0000 - 1.5290 bias	2.2000 - 1.5290 bias	1.6000 - 3.0011 bias
TOTAL				46.492632	45.265995	2.052674	1.386254	0.671000	-1.401100