Poll Average Details- FL US Senate - 2018-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Rick Scott	Bill Nelson	Michael S. Levinson	Howard W. Knepper	Charles Frederick Tolbert	Lateresa A. Jones	David Weeks
Trafalgar Group	11/5	X 1.00000		49.0000 - 1.6400 bias	47.3000 - -1.5916 bias
Harris Interactive	11/4	X 0.98333		49.1000 - -0.0154 bias	45.2000 - 0.3835 bias
Quinnipiac University	11/4	X 0.98333		44.0000 - -0.4574 bias	51.0000 - 1.4883 bias
St. Pete Polls	11/4	X 0.98333		46.2000 - -1.0782 bias	49.9000 - 1.3486 bias
Research Co.	11/3	X 0.96667		46.0000 - -0.8902 bias	47.0000 - 2.9639 bias
Emerson College	11/3	X 0.96667		45.0000 - 0.4363 bias	50.0000 - 1.1507 bias
Marist Institute	11/2	X 0.95000		46.0000 - -0.7027 bias	50.0000 - 1.2095 bias
Gravis Marketing	11/2	X 0.95000		47.0000 - -0.0717 bias	50.0000 - 1.6087 bias
Change Research	11/2	X 0.95000		48.0000 - -1.2828 bias	50.0000 - 1.7383 bias
Targoz Market Research	10/31	X 0.91667		49.0000 - -1.9697 bias	45.0000 - 3.5777 bias
MWR Strategies	10/31	X 0.91667		43.0000 - 0.4665 bias	41.0000 - 0.1520 bias
Political Matrix/Listener Group	10/30	X 0.90000		47.0000 - -12.7743 bias	47.0000 - 13.4289 bias
Vox Populi	10/30	X 0.90000		50.0000 - -0.3032 bias	50.0000 - 2.4096 bias
SSRS	10/29	X 0.88333		47.0000 - -1.7743 bias	49.0000 - 2.1629 bias
Cygnal (R)	10/29	X 0.88333		48.0000 - 0.0406 bias	50.0000 - 0.2032 bias
Suffolk University	10/28	X 0.86667		43.0000 - -2.2107 bias	45.0000 - 1.6916 bias
Siena Research Institute	10/27	X 0.85000		44.0000 - -0.2762 bias	48.0000 - 0.8995 bias
YouGov	10/26	X 0.83333		46.0000 - -0.0047 bias	46.0000 - 1.4663 bias
University of North Florida	10/26	X 0.83333		46.0000 - -2.1858 bias	47.0000 - 2.3024 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	10/26	X 0.83333		44.0000 - 0.2867 bias	49.0000 - 3.1281 bias
Strategic Research Associates	10/23	X 0.78333		45.0000 - 0.4303 bias	46.0000 - 1.4101 bias
Saint Leo University	10/22	X 0.76667		38.4000 - -3.9563 bias	46.6000 - 4.0941 bias
Florida Atlantic University	10/21	X 0.75000		42.0000 - -1.2483 bias	41.0000 - 2.7986 bias
Survey USA	10/21	X 0.75000		41.0000 - 0.3321 bias	49.0000 - 0.6087 bias
SEA Polling & Strategic Design (D)	10/20	X 0.73333		47.0000 - -0.2297 bias	45.0000 - 2.0255 bias
OnMessage Inc. (R)	10/18	X 0.70000	X 1/2	51.0000 - 3.3406 bias	46.0000 - -1.9372 bias
Florida Southern College Center for Polling and Policy Research	10/5	X 0.48333		46.0000 - -0.2299 bias	44.5000 - 0.8484 bias
Mason-Dixon	9/27	X 0.35000		46.0000 - 0.8197 bias	47.0000 - 0.4628 bias
Cherry Communications	9/24	X 0.30000		46.0000 - -0.0745 bias	48.0000 - 0.5537 bias
Rasmussen Reports	9/11	X 0.08333		44.0000 - 1.5749 bias	45.0000 - 0.4222 bias
TOTAL				46.805657	45.460520	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000