Poll Average Details- MT US President - 2016-11-08 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Donald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpHillary Clinton Hillary ClintonGary Johnson Jill Stein Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner Darryl W. Perry Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Andrew Basiago Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Joseph "Joe Exotic" Maldonado Evan McMullin Mike Smith Robert L. Buchanan Laio Morris
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   52.0000 - -2.0483 bias 30.0000 - 2.5798 bias 11.0000 - 3.8473 bias 4.0000 - 2.3756 bias                          
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   54.0000 - 0.2867 bias 35.0000 - 3.1281 bias                              
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   44.1000 - -0.0047 bias 31.7000 - 1.4663 bias 6.7000 - 3.6071 bias 3.1000 - 1.3922 bias                          
Mason-Dixon10/12X 0.56667   46.0000 - 0.8197 bias 36.0000 - 0.4628 bias 11.0000 - 0.2403 bias                            
Montana State University Billings10/10X 0.53333   43.0000 - -1.1286 bias 27.0000 - 0.9098 bias 7.0000 - 0.5258 bias 2.0000 - 1.3888 bias                          
TOTAL 49.026252 30.133580 6.403499 1.442269 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000