Poll Average Details- MO US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump	Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton	Gary Johnson	Jill Stein	Darrell L. Castle Uncommitted	Laurence Kotlikoff	Tom Hoefling	Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	Evan McMullin	Marshall Schoenke
SurveyMonkey	11/7	X 1.00000		48.0000 - -2.0483 bias	40.0000 - 2.5798 bias	8.0000 - 3.8473 bias	3.0000 - 2.3756 bias
YouGov	11/6	X 0.98333		43.3000 - -0.0047 bias	35.8000 - 1.4663 bias	5.4000 - 3.6071 bias	2.6000 - 1.3922 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	11/6	X 0.98333		48.0000 - 0.2867 bias	40.0000 - 3.1281 bias
Emerson College	11/5	X 0.96667		47.0000 - 0.4363 bias	41.0000 - 1.1507 bias	7.0000 - 1.0850 bias	2.0000 - 1.3509 bias
Clarity Campaign Labs	11/2	X 0.91667		54.0000 - -1.3124 bias	38.0000 - 3.9429 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/2	X 0.91667		50.0000 - -0.1911 bias	37.0000 - 1.3449 bias	4.0000 - 1.3665 bias	2.0000 - 0.8268 bias
DFM Research	11/1	X 0.90000		47.0000 - -4.0899 bias	38.0000 - 4.5836 bias	3.0000 - 2.3523 bias	1.0000 - 0.1557 bias
Remington Research	11/1	X 0.90000		51.0000 - -0.1037 bias	39.0000 - 0.4157 bias	4.0000 - 0.3517 bias	1.0000 - 0.3991 bias	1.0000 - 0.6425 bias
Monmouth University	10/31	X 0.88333		52.0000 - -1.1567 bias	38.0000 - 2.2180 bias	4.0000 - 0.7100 bias	2.0000 - 0.2042 bias
BK Strategies	10/28	X 0.83333		53.0000 - 3.2404 bias	39.0000 - 0.5602 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/26	X 0.80000		47.0000 - 0.8197 bias	42.0000 - 0.4628 bias	3.0000 - 0.2403 bias	1.0000 - -0.3342 bias
TOTAL				49.449159	36.846334	3.133050	1.016231	0.357500	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000