Poll Average Details- MI US President - 2016-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpGary Johnson Jill Stein Monica Moorehead Darrell L. Castle Emidio "Mimi" Soltysik Laurence Kotlikoff Tom Hoefling Evan McMullin Michael A. Maturen Cherunda Fox Ben Hartnell
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   44.0000 - 2.5713 bias 42.0000 - -1.9834 bias 8.0000 - 3.8473 bias 3.0000 - 2.3756 bias                  
Mitchell Research & Communications11/6X 0.98333   47.0000 - 1.7123 bias 41.0000 - -0.6325 bias 7.0000 - 0.4798 bias                    
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   42.0000 - 1.5208 bias 36.0000 - -0.0504 bias 5.4000 - 3.5652 bias 3.2000 - 1.3482 bias                  
Trafalgar Group11/6X 0.98333   46.8200 - -1.3032 bias 48.5200 - 1.4940 bias 2.8900 - 1.0414 bias 0.9000 - 0.4166 bias                  
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 3.1327 bias 45.0000 - 0.0696 bias                      
Gravis Marketing11/4X 0.95000   46.0000 - 1.7918 bias 41.0000 - -0.2072 bias 3.0000 - 1.7089 bias 3.0000 - 1.4635 bias                  
Public Policy Polling11/4X 0.95000   46.0000 - 1.4367 bias 41.0000 - -0.2365 bias 6.0000 - 1.3468 bias 2.0000 - 0.7731 bias                  
Strategic National (R)11/3X 0.93333   44.0000 - 3.2444 bias 44.0000 - -1.9199 bias 4.0000 - 0.6238 bias 3.0000 - 2.0856 bias                  
EPIC/MRA11/3X 0.93333   42.0000 - 1.0894 bias 38.0000 - 0.3787 bias 5.0000 - 0.8508 bias 2.0000 - 1.6484 bias                  
Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (Michigan State University)10/30X 0.86667   47.0000 - 3.4658 bias 28.0000 - -4.1379 bias 11.0000 - 8.6355 bias 4.0000 - 3.3721 bias                  
Emerson College10/26X 0.80000   50.0000 - 1.2939 bias 43.0000 - 0.3326 bias 3.0000 - 1.0144 bias 3.0000 - 1.2292 bias                  
Marketing Resource Group10/19X 0.68333   41.0000 - 1.7470 bias 36.0000 - -1.0755 bias 7.0000 - 1.7689 bias 3.0000 - 1.8359 bias                  
Glengariff Group10/11X 0.55000   42.2000 - 0.9732 bias 30.6000 - -1.1457 bias 10.3000 - 1.8447 bias 4.6000 - 2.0966 bias                  
Target Insyght9/24X 0.26667   46.0000 - 3.4951 bias 41.0000 - -1.7528 bias 8.0000 - 1.4802 bias                    
TOTAL 43.257441 40.725106 3.717460 1.127405 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000