Poll Average Details- FL US President - 2016-11-08 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonDonald J. Trump Donald J. TrumpGary Johnson Jill Stein Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente Write-In Richard A. Duncan Laurence Kotlikoff Anthony "Tony" Valdivia Andrew Basiago Cherunda Fox Zoltan Istvan Gyurko Darrell L. Castle
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   47.0000 - 2.5798 bias 45.0000 - -2.0483 bias 4.0000 - 3.8473 bias 2.0000 - 2.3756 bias                  
Reuters/Ipsos11/6X 0.98333   48.0000 - 3.1281 bias 47.0000 - 0.2867 bias                      
YouGov11/6X 0.98333   44.0000 - 1.4663 bias 42.9000 - -0.0047 bias 2.9000 - 3.6071 bias 1.6000 - 1.3922 bias                  
Pulse Opinion Research11/6X 0.98333   47.0000 - -0.2550 bias 45.0000 - 1.6198 bias 2.0000 - 1.8488 bias 2.0000 - 1.8726 bias                  
Trafalgar Group11/6X 0.98333   46.1300 - -1.5916 bias 49.7200 - 1.6400 bias 2.4300 - 1.0064 bias 0.6200 - 0.4166 bias                  
Opinion Savvy11/6X 0.98333   48.4000 - -0.3502 bias 46.4000 - -0.6111 bias 3.0000 - 2.0896 bias 1.1000 - 0.4286 bias                  
Quinnipiac University11/6X 0.98333   46.0000 - 1.4883 bias 45.0000 - -0.4574 bias 2.0000 - 2.4881 bias 1.0000 - 1.2442 bias                  
Gravis Marketing11/2X 0.91667   46.0000 - 1.6087 bias 45.0000 - -0.0717 bias 4.0000 - 1.7089 bias 0.0000 - 1.4635 bias                  
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   45.0000 - 0.4157 bias 48.0000 - -0.1037 bias 2.0000 - 0.3517 bias                    
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - 0.8606 bias 47.0000 - 0.4315 bias 3.0000 - 2.2808 bias 1.0000 - 1.3465 bias                  
William & Mary College10/30X 0.86667   48.0000 - 1.6514 bias 40.0000 - -3.0192 bias 3.0000 - 3.1819 bias 2.0000 - 1.1265 bias                  
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.81667   42.0000 - 0.8995 bias 46.0000 - -0.2762 bias 4.0000 - 1.2365 bias                    
Emerson College10/27X 0.81667   46.0000 - 1.1507 bias 45.0000 - 0.4363 bias 4.0000 - 1.0850 bias 0.3000 - 1.3509 bias                  
Marist Institute10/26X 0.80000   45.0000 - 1.2095 bias 44.0000 - -0.7027 bias 5.0000 - 4.1685 bias 2.0000 - 2.5135 bias                  
Public Policy Polling10/26X 0.80000   48.0000 - 1.3449 bias 44.0000 - -0.1911 bias                      
Saint Leo University10/26X 0.80000   52.0000 - 4.0941 bias 39.4000 - -3.9563 bias 6.3000 - 5.0488 bias 2.3000 - 2.0733 bias                  
Dixie Strategies10/26X 0.80000   42.4000 - -2.3406 bias 45.7000 - 3.6339 bias 2.0000 - -0.0151 bias 1.4000 - 0.1889 bias                  
University of North Florida10/25X 0.78333   43.0000 - 2.3024 bias 39.0000 - -2.1858 bias 6.0000 - 5.8158 bias 3.0000 - 2.6131 bias                  
Survey USA10/24X 0.76667   48.0000 - 0.6087 bias 45.0000 - 0.3321 bias 2.0000 - 1.3026 bias 1.0000 - 0.9606 bias                  
Selzer & Co.10/24X 0.76667   43.0000 - 1.0019 bias 45.0000 - -0.2736 bias 4.0000 - 2.3909 bias 2.0000 - 1.6396 bias                  
Florida Atlantic University10/23X 0.75000   46.0000 - 2.7986 bias 43.0000 - -1.2483 bias                      
Tyson Group (TelOpinion Research) (R)10/19X 0.68333   44.0000 - -2.6439 bias 41.0000 - -6.5118 bias 4.0000 - 1.7064 bias 1.0000 - 0.4275 bias                  
Cherry Communications10/19X 0.68333   46.0000 - 0.5537 bias 42.0000 - -0.0745 bias 5.0000 - 1.9830 bias 1.0000 - 0.3802 bias                  
Lucid10/18X 0.66667   45.0000 - 1.8534 bias 39.0000 - -2.4929 bias 6.0000 - 5.9289 bias 2.0000 - 1.8425 bias                  
Mason-Dixon9/29X 0.35000   46.0000 - 0.4628 bias 42.0000 - 0.8197 bias 7.0000 - 0.2403 bias 1.0000 - -0.3342 bias                  
Suffolk University9/21X 0.21667   44.0000 - 1.6916 bias 45.0000 - -2.2107 bias 3.0000 - 1.3790 bias 1.0000 - 0.3882 bias 0.0000 - -0.0536 bias               0.0000 - 0.1573 bias
Monmouth University9/19X 0.18333   46.0000 - 2.2180 bias 41.0000 - -1.1567 bias 6.0000 - 0.7100 bias 1.0000 - 0.2042 bias                  
Global Strategy Group (D)9/11X 0.05000   46.0000 - 2.9243 bias 43.0000 - -2.0216 bias                      
TOTAL 45.069805 44.843888 1.217882 0.108396 0.053600 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.157300